Bank of England decision in June?50+ bps increase
ResolvedOutcome: No$43Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
poll: The Bank of England are to hold bank rate at 3.75% this year, said 27 of 56 economists; seven saw at least one cut, 22 saw at least one increase. • • UK inflation to average 3.2% and economic growth 0.8% in 2026 (vs 3.2%, 0.7% in April poll). • • 9:48 May 13GBPUK
The Bank of England is expected to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged at its monetary policy meeting this week.
BoE to hold bank rate at 3.75% through end-2026, say 33 of 62 economists vs 28 of 50 seen in March - Poll.
POLL-BoE to hold interest rates through 2026 despite inflation threat
NOReuters98%match98¢+2%
Reuters Poll-Bank of England to Hold Bank Rate at 3.75% Through End-2026, Say 33 of 62 Economists (vs 28 of 50 in March Poll)
Bank of England will only raise rates amid a severe supply shortage
NOReuters99%match99¢+1%
Investors Price One Quarter-Point Bank of England Rate Hike in 2026 (Thursday: Between One and Two)
NOReuters99%match98¢+2%
Investors Price Roughly 84% Chance of Two Bank of England Interest Rate Hikes in 2026 (Friday: 60%) - OIS Curve
Where does the news lean?
0YES10NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 99%.
How did this market resolve?
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Bank of England decision in June? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.