World Cup: Highest-Ranking Nation Eliminated (Group Phase)

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This hub tracks 45 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Uruguay (16)100%
Netherlands (8)0%
Belgium (9)0%
USA (17)0%
Côte d'Ivoire (33)0%
Scotland (42)0%
Congo DR (46)0%
Uzbekistan (50)0%
Haiti (83)0%
Team A0%
Türkiye (22)0%
Egypt (29)0%
Canada (30)0%
Ghana (73)0%
France (3)0%
Brazil (6)0%
Germany (10)0%
Croatia (11)0%
Mexico (14)0%
Australia (27)0%
Paraguay (41)0%
Korea Republic (25)0%
Panama (34)0%
Qatar (56)0%
South Africa (60)0%
Saudi Arabia (61)0%
Cabo Verde (67)0%
Curaçao (82)0%
Spain (2)0%
Argentina (1)0%

All further outcomes (15 more):

Japan (18) · Switzerland (19) · IR Iran (20) · Ecuador (23) · Austria (24) · Algeria (28) · Bosnia and Herzegovina (64) · New Zealand (85) · Team B · Other · England (4) · Portugal (5) · Morocco (7) · Colombia (13) · Senegal (15)

What moved the odds?

A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to the nation with the highest FIFA World Ranking that fails to advance from the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The FIFA World Ranking in effect at the time of this market's creation will be used. “Eliminated in the group phase” means the nation does not advance to the knockout stage (i.e., does not finish first or second in its group and is not among the eight best third-placed teams that advance). If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the group stage results cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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