Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Margin of Victory
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Why Polls Got Wisconsin Governor’s Race Wrong—After Socialist Francesca Hong Loses. • Kalshi betting odds gave Hong more than a 95% chance of winning on Tuesday.
Why Polls Got Wisconsin Governor’s Race Wrong—After Socialist Francesca Hong Loses. • Kalshi betting odds gave Hong more than a 95% chance of winning on Tuesday.
Why Polls Got Wisconsin Governor’s Race Wrong—After Socialist Francesca Hong Loses. • Kalshi betting odds gave Hong more than a 95% chance of winning on Tuesday.
Why Polls Got Wisconsin Governor’s Race Wrong—After Socialist Francesca Hong Loses. • Kalshi betting odds gave Hong more than a 95% chance of winning on Tuesday.
Why Polls Got Wisconsin Governor’s Race Wrong—After Socialist Francesca Hong Loses. • Kalshi betting odds gave Hong more than a 95% chance of winning on Tuesday.
Why Polls Got Wisconsin Governor’s Race Wrong—After Socialist Francesca Hong Loses. • Kalshi betting odds gave Hong more than a 95% chance of winning on Tuesday.
Live: Francesca Hong concedes to David Crowley, source confirms
Moderate Democrat Crowley wins primary election in Wisconsin
Live: Democrats trying to make sense of David Crowley’s surprise victory pointed to a race that shifted dramatically in the last week. Francesca Hong seemed unpolished during national TV appearances; Gov. Tony Evers, still a popular figure in the party, was campaigning all over the state for Crowley; and many voters tuned in only in the race’s final days.
Live: Democrats trying to make sense of David Crowley’s surprise victory pointed to a race that shifted dramatically in the last week. Francesca Hong seemed unpolished during national TV appearances; Gov. Tony Evers, still a popular figure in the party, was campaigning all over the state for Crowley; and many voters tuned in only in the race’s final days.
Live: Democrats trying to make sense of David Crowley’s surprise victory pointed to a race that shifted dramatically in the last week. Francesca Hong seemed unpolished during national TV appearances; Gov. Tony Evers, still a popular figure in the party, was campaigning all over the state for Crowley; and many voters tuned in only in the race’s final days.
Hasan Piker's "Touch Of Death"? Far-Left Francesca Hong Loses Wisconsin's Dem Primary For Governor
Hasan Piker's "Touch Of Death"? Far-Left Francesca Hong Loses Wisconsin's Dem Primary For Governor
Hasan Piker's "Touch Of Death"? Far-Left Francesca Hong Loses Wisconsin's Dem Primary For Governor
Hasan Piker's "Touch Of Death"? Far-Left Francesca Hong Loses Wisconsin's Dem Primary For Governor
Hasan Piker's "Touch Of Death"? Far-Left Francesca Hong Loses Wisconsin's Dem Primary For Governor
Hasan Piker's "Touch Of Death"? Far-Left Francesca Hong Loses Wisconsin's Dem Primary For Governor
Live: A super PAC tied to Republicans spent millions on outside ads boosting the campaign of Francesca Hong, a democratic socialist state representative and chef whom both parties saw as easier for the G.O.P. nominee to defeat in November. That effort failed, as the moderate David Crowley took the Democratic nomination.
Live: A super PAC tied to Republicans spent millions on outside ads boosting the campaign of Francesca Hong, a democratic socialist state representative and chef whom both parties saw as easier for the G.O.P. nominee to defeat in November. That effort failed, as the moderate David Crowley took the Democratic nomination.
Live: A super PAC tied to Republicans spent millions on outside ads boosting the campaign of Francesca Hong, a democratic socialist state representative and chef whom both parties saw as easier for the G.O.P. nominee to defeat in November. That effort failed, as the moderate David Crowley took the Democratic nomination.
Live: A super PAC tied to Republicans spent millions on outside ads boosting the campaign of Francesca Hong, a democratic socialist state representative and chef whom both parties saw as easier for the G.O.P. nominee to defeat in November. That effort failed, as the moderate David Crowley took the Democratic nomination.
Primary night delivers a split verdict for Democrats and sets up another Republican showdown in South Carolina. • • Moderate David Crowley narrowly beats democratic socialist Francesca Hong in Wisconsin's Democratic gubernatorial primary, while progressive Peggy Flanagan takes Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary after securing an endorsement from Sen. Bernie Sanders. • • In South Carolina, neither Sen. Darline Graham nor Rep. Ralph Norman gets the majority needed to finish the Republican Senate contest, sending the two into an Aug. 25 runoff. • • @madeleinerivera has more on the races and the message voters are sending.
Primary night delivers a split verdict for Democrats and sets up another Republican showdown in South Carolina. • • Moderate David Crowley narrowly beats democratic socialist Francesca Hong in Wisconsin's Democratic gubernatorial primary, while progressive Peggy Flanagan takes Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary after securing an endorsement from Sen. Bernie Sanders. • • In South Carolina, neither Sen. Darline Graham nor Rep. Ralph Norman gets the majority needed to finish the Republican Senate contest, sending the two into an Aug. 25 runoff. • • @madeleinerivera has more on the races and the message voters are sending.
Primary night delivers a split verdict for Democrats and sets up another Republican showdown in South Carolina. • • Moderate David Crowley narrowly beats democratic socialist Francesca Hong in Wisconsin's Democratic gubernatorial primary, while progressive Peggy Flanagan takes Minnesota's Democratic Senate primary after securing an endorsement from Sen. Bernie Sanders. • • In South Carolina, neither Sen. Darline Graham nor Rep. Ralph Norman gets the majority needed to finish the Republican Senate contest, sending the two into an Aug. 25 runoff. • • @madeleinerivera has more on the races and the message voters are sending.
Live: David Crowley defeats Francesca Hong to win Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor
Live: David Crowley defeats Francesca Hong to win Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor
Live: David Crowley defeats Francesca Hong to win Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor
Live: David Crowley defeats Francesca Hong to win Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor
Moderate Crowley narrowly beats democratic socialist Hong in Wisconsin
Moderate Crowley narrowly beats democratic socialist Hong in Wisconsin
What is this event about?
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official..
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.