Will Trump sign an executive order on...?

OpenOutcomes31as of

This hub tracks 31 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

May 1100%
May 19100%
May 29100%

All further outcomes (1 more):

May 30

What moved the odds?

11 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

May 12piqnewswire98%match89¢+12%
The Trump administration is fine-tuning potential executive orders to lower domestic beef prices and alleviate shortages. • • More Here →
May 11staunovo99%match46¢-100%
Trump to Sign Orders Monday Aimed at Lowering Beef Prices
May 11marketnews_feed99%match46¢-100%
TRUMP COULD SIGN EXECUTIVE ORDER ON AI SECURITY AS SOON AS TODAY - WAPO ...
May 11firstsquawk99%match46¢-100%
TRUMP COULD SIGN EXECUTIVE ORDER ON AI SECURITY AS SOON AS TODAY - WAPO
May 7apnews.com99%match99¢+1%
Trump to sign executive orders on beef supply
May 9apnews.com99%match99¢+1%
Trump to sign executive orders on beef supply
May 11apnews.com99%match51¢-100%
Trump to sign executive orders on beef supply
May 8apnews.com99%match99¢+1%
Trump to sign executive orders on beef supply
May 14apnews.com99%match84¢+19%
Trump to sign executive orders on beef supply
May 14alarabiya98%match16¢-100%
"I am the father of fertility," said US President Donald Trump during the signing of an executive order to reduce the costs and accessibility of fertility treatments. "I learned the importance of fertility in just four minutes... and we decided to ease the financial burden on those wishing to have children."
May 14alarabiya98%match16¢-100%
"I am the father of fertility," said US President Donald Trump during the signing of an executive order to reduce the costs and accessibility of fertility treatments. "I learned the importance of fertility in just four minutes... and we decided to ease the financial burden on those wishing to have children."

What is this event about?

This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the specified calendar date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only formal executive orders will qualify; other executive actions will not qualify. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.

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