Will Trump dance on...?

OpenOutcomes31as of

This hub tracks 31 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

May 22100%
May 5100%
May 19100%
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All further outcomes (1 more):

May 28

What moved the odds?

8 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

May 5foxnews.com99%match93¢+8%
Trump teaches students his iconic dance during White House fitness event
May 5alarabiya_eng99%match100¢
US President Donald Trump is seen performing his signature YMCA dance in front of children participating in the Presidential Fitness Test on the South Lawn of the White House.
May 5Jordanian Media99%match100¢
Trump teaches some school students who are athletes his famous dance on the White House lawn #Trump #HereIsTheKingdom
May 5alarabiya99%match100¢
During their participation in a "fitness" event, US President Donald Trump taught a group of students how to perform his famous dance in the White House garden.
May 5Trump Assistant99%match100¢
SPOTTED: PRESIDENT TRUMP TEACHING THE TRUMP DANCE ON THE SOUTH LAWN
May 5foxnews99%match100¢
WATCH: President Trump shows kids how the Trump Dance is done at the White House Fitness Test Field Day
May 5whitehouse99%match100¢
SPOTTED: PRESIDENT TRUMP TEACHING THE TRUMP DANCE ON THE SOUTH LAWN
May 5whpresspool99%match20¢+400%
In town pool report #8 • • The president came out of the Oval Office at 12:48PM as “Eye of the Tiger” played. • • He high-fived the mascots and then walked to the putting green on the lawn to speak to some children. • • Kids have been playing the entire time we’ve been out here. The George Washington mascot did a pull up. Secretary Turner ran some kids through footwork drills. Screech is doing sit ups with kids. • • The president and his friends did some putting. He missed all three attempts. Gary Player went after the president. He also missed. Bryson went next. He missed too. • • Then the president walked over to the kids doing jumping jacks. They stopped as the president came over and crowded him. They spoke to the president for several minutes and shook his hand. • • We are still on the south lawn. YMCA is playing now. The president did his dance with some kids. • • The president mascots briefly did the Trump dance. Now they’re back to throwing the football with each other. • More to come. • • Reagan Reese • Daily Caller • Tue. May 5, 12:59 PM

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump dances between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Dancing" is defined as deliberate, rhythmic body movement typically matched music or a beat, such as swaying, stepping, or coordinated hand or body motions. Casual gesturing, clapping, or incidental body movement will not qualify. Dancing without the presence of music or a beat will qualify. AI-generated content, deepfakes, or altered footage will not be considered. Videos posted on his social media, which were filmed outside this market's time frame, will not qualify. This market will resolve based on video footage.

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