When will the Knesset elect a new Speaker?

OpenOutcomes4as of

Market pricing makes December 31 the favorite at 69% across 4 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

No directional matched news signals are available across this event yet.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An individual serving as, appointed as, or deemed to be acting or temporary Speaker will not trigger a "Yes" resolution to this market. Only the successful election of the first Speaker of the 26th Knesset will result in this market's resolving to "Yes". This market may resolve to "Yes" as soon as a Speaker of the 26th Knesset is successfully elected. Otherwise, this market may not resolve until its expiration time passes. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset and the Government of Israel, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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