Michigan Senate Election Winner
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Market pricing makes Abdul El-Sayed (D) the favorite at 70% across 13 tracked outcomes, as of .
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.@AbdulElSayed is sticking by his 7-point win prediction and tells his opponent Mike Rogers is "not a serious person, and they're not a serious campaign, and he's lazy, and he's entitled.” • • He did so after holding two rallies in one day — including drawing 700 in a heavily R area — and Rogers appeared to be keeping a lighter public schedule.
President Obama has endorsed Abdul El-Sayed in the Michigan Senate race.
Live: AIPAC’s super PAC, United Democracy Project, spent on behalf of Mike Rogers, the Republican candidate for Senate in Michigan, for the first time earlier this week. The group spent about $94,000 on campaign mailers targeting 130,000 Jewish voters in the state.
5 things to watch for in Thursday’s Michigan debate showdown Former Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Mich.) and Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed will face off Thursday night in their first debate of a contest that will help decide whether Democrats or Republicans hold the Senate majority next year. El-Sayed enjoys a 4.1 percent lead in the Decision Desk HQ polling average heading into the debate. The Cook…
5 things to watch for in Thursday’s Michigan debate showdown Former Rep. Mike Rogers (R-Mich.) and Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed will face off Thursday night in their first debate of a contest that will help decide whether Democrats or Republicans hold the Senate majority next year. El-Sayed enjoys a 4.1 percent lead in the Decision Desk HQ polling average heading into the debate. The Cook…
Grand Rapids, MI • • It’s debate day. Gov. Gretchen Whitmer is campaigning with Abdul El-Sayed this morning. She endorsed Haley Stevens in the ‘26 Sen primary and was a primary opponent to El-Sayed in the 2018 guv race. • • “Michigan cannot afford to send Mike Rogers on our behalf.”
In the Michigan Senate race, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holds a nearly 4-point lead in our polling average. • • In the DDHQ Forecast, El-Sayed remains the favorite with a 71% win probability. • • If Democrats hold Michigan, they have a 68% chance of winning a majority in the Senate.
In the Michigan Senate race, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed holds a nearly 4-point lead in our polling average. • • In the DDHQ Forecast, El-Sayed remains the favorite with a 71% win probability. • • If Democrats hold Michigan, they have a 68% chance of winning a majority in the Senate.
Obama's entry into the decisive battle of the US Senate at the expense of Trump Former US Democratic President Barack Obama, by increasing his presence in the midterm elections, has put support for "Abdulrahman Muhammad al-Sayed", known as "Abdul al-Sayed", the Democratic candidate for the Michigan Senate, on the agenda; a competition that could play a decisive role in determining the party with the majority in the Senate next year. @TasnimNews
Obama enters crucial US Senate battle; supports Al-Sayed in sensitive Michigan race Former US Democratic President Barack Obama, by increasing his presence in the midterm elections, has put on the agenda his support for "Abdulrahman Muhammad Al-Sayed", known as "Abdul Al-Sayed", the Democratic candidate for the Michigan Senate; a race that could play a decisive role in determining the party with the majority in the Senate next year.
#IRNA_World @IRNA_1313
Obama to appear at Abdul El-Sayed rally in critical Michigan Senate race
Obama to rally for El-Sayed in Michigan Former President Obama is set to rally later this month in Michigan for Senate hopeful Abdul El-Sayed, who’s in a must-win battleground race against Republican Mike Rogers. “It is my honor and privilege to announce that President @BarackObama is joining us on the trail in Detroit on Saturday, October 24,” El-Sayed announced on the social…
Significant event: Abdul-Sayed, the Democratic candidate for Senate in Michigan, is about to receive public support from Obama.
Hottest 2026 Midterm Races—Progressive El-Sayed Up 4 Points In Michigan Senate Race (Updated Daily). • Trump has a 37% average approval rating in Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin.
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed is, at best, an apologist for Islamists. • • El-Sayed is, at best, ignorant of the basics of health care insurance and the astonishing costs and service dislocations that “Medicare-for-all” would trigger. • • El-Sayed is, at best, ignorant of the basic history of the world in the past 125 years. • • El-Sayed is, at best, a touchy, angry, dissimulating-to-outright lying candidate who cannot get through even softball interviews without face-planting on details or lashing out at interviewers. • • @MikeRogersForMI is a 14 year veteran of the House, former Chair of the House Intel Committee, an FBI agent and Army officer. Rogers is a man of character who has built a bipartisan coalition of supporters, including old-school Democrats and long-time UAW members. Rogers is a patriot and a mainstream “normie.” • • Absentee voting opened in Michigan on September 24. Every sane voter in the Wolverine State should be banking their vote for Rogers. The state does not need the most radical member of the Senate since Reconstruction to “represent” their state. Matched with moderate D Elissa Slotkin, Rogers would give Michigan the sort of Senate heft in the most important debates and on the most important bills as the @SenatorCollins and Senator Angus King give Maine. • • Don’t overthink this, Michigan. You know El-Sayed cannot be trusted and that Rogers can be. It doesn’t get much easier than this.
Michigan Democratic Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed is, at best, an apologist for Islamists. • • El-Sayed is, at best, ignorant of the basics of health care insurance and the astonishing costs and service dislocations that “Medicare-for-all” would trigger. • • El-Sayed is, at best, ignorant of the basic history of the world in the past 125 years. • • El-Sayed is, at best, a touchy, angry, dissimulating-to-outright lying candidate who cannot get through even softball interviews without face-planting on details or lashing out at interviewers. • • @MikeRogersForMI is a 14 year veteran of the House, former Chair of the House Intel Committee, an FBI agent and Army officer. Rogers is a man of character who has built a bipartisan coalition of supporters, including old-school Democrats and long-time UAW members. Rogers is a patriot and a mainstream “normie.” • • Absentee voting opened in Michigan on September 24. Every sane voter in the Wolverine State should be banking their vote for Rogers. The state does not need the most radical member of the Senate since Reconstruction to “represent” their state. Matched with moderate D Elissa Slotkin, Rogers would give Michigan the sort of Senate heft in the most important debates and on the most important bills as the @SenatorCollins and Senator Angus King give Maine. • • Don’t overthink this, Michigan. You know El-Sayed cannot be trusted and that Rogers can be. It doesn’t get much easier than this.
Abdul El-Sayed has a 71% chance of winning the Michigan Senate race — Polymarket • •
Abdul El-Sayed has a 71% chance of winning the Michigan Senate race — Polymarket • •
The biggest story in the most important Senate race is Abdul El-Sayed’s enormous problem rallying the Black vote to him. • • The AP passed along this bit of reporting on former VP Kamala Harris’s trip to MI this week: • • “‘It’s OK to not be in love with a candidate,’ Harris told several hundred attendees at an evening NAACP forum. • • ‘It’s OK to vote and ask everybody else to vote because this choice is better than that one. That’s what gets you where you need to go.’ • • El-Sayed did not attend the NAACP event where Harris vouched for him.” • • No explanation is offered on why El-Sayed skipped an NAACP event when he must gain significant Black support in the next five weeks. (Boos would have gone as viral as fast as this week’s clip of him refusing to be critical of IRGC massacre of thousands of Iranians in January?) • • Skepticism of MI polling showing El-Sayed leading @MikeRogersForMI is warranted b/c the radical leftist is struggling to lock down even a low-turnout number of Black votes. Black voters are suspicious of El-Sayed. They are reliable Democrats. El-Sayed is not.
The biggest story in the most important Senate race is Abdul El-Sayed’s enormous problem rallying the Black vote to him. • • The AP passed along this bit of reporting on former VP Kamala Harris’s trip to MI this week: • • “‘It’s OK to not be in love with a candidate,’ Harris told several hundred attendees at an evening NAACP forum. • • ‘It’s OK to vote and ask everybody else to vote because this choice is better than that one. That’s what gets you where you need to go.’ • • El-Sayed did not attend the NAACP event where Harris vouched for him.” • • No explanation is offered on why El-Sayed skipped an NAACP event when he must gain significant Black support in the next five weeks. (Boos would have gone as viral as fast as this week’s clip of him refusing to critical of IRGC massacre of thousands of Iranians in January?) • • Skepticism of MI polling showing El-Sayed leading @MikeRogersForMI is warranted b/c the radical leftist is struggling to lock down even a low-turnout number of Black votes. Black voters are suspicious of El-Sayed. They are reliable Democrats. El-Sayed is not.
Live: In Michigan, despite concerns about a fractured party, Abdul El-Sayed has consolidated Democratic support in our poll, and is tied among independent voters. As both sides try to court the crucial voting bloc, independents view El-Sayed far more positively than his opponent in the Senate race, Mike Rogers, a Republican.
Live: In Michigan, despite concerns about a fractured party, Abdul El-Sayed has consolidated Democratic support in our poll, and is tied among independent voters. As both sides try to court the crucial voting bloc, independents view El-Sayed far more positively than his opponent in the Senate race, Mike Rogers, a Republican.
Abdul El-Sayed (D)Democrats are maintaining their leads in the U.S. Senate races in Michigan and New Hampshire, according to New York Times/Siena polling released Thursday. In the Michigan race, Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed garnered 49 percent support compared to the 44 percent of respondents who favored Republican Mike Rogers. The Democrat has maintained a slight lead over…92%match72¢-3%
Democrats leading in Michigan, New Hampshire Senate races: Survey
New - Senate poll - Michigan Abdul El-Sayed 49% Mike Rogers 44% NYT/Siena - LV - 9/22
New - Senate poll - Michigan Abdul El-Sayed 49% Mike Rogers 44% NYT/Siena - LV - 9/22
Kamala Harris returns to Michigan to campaign for Abdul El-Sayed for Senate
Abdul El-Sayed (D)Democratic Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed posted a 7-point advantage over GOP Rep. Mike Rogers in a new survey released Tuesday. The Suffolk University poll found that 47 percent of likely Michigan voters backed El-Sayed, while 40 percent said they supported Rogers in the November contest. Eighty-one percent of Democrats backed El-Sayed and 90 percent…95%match72¢-3%
El-Sayed holds 7-point lead in Michigan Senate race survey
Kamala Harris seeks to boost progressive Abdul El-Sayed in key Michigan Senate race
Kamala Harris returns to campaign trail to boost Abdul El-Sayed in critical Michigan Senate race
The polls around @MikeRogersForMI v Abdul El-Sayed do not add up. AES is the most radical major party nominee for a Senate seat that I can recall. (Talarico is out there on the weird axis but hard-core anti-American axis winner is AES, by w lot). By contrast Rep. Rogers is middle-of-the-road Michigan through and through, and his love of country is the through line of his career: Army-FBI-state legislator-Congresman and Chair of House Intel Committee —a job that goes to mature, smart, trustworthy Members. Rogers is running hard and running a clean, direct middle-of-the-road campaign against a radical. • • Not even sure President Obama can help AES with old school Dems of every demographic. AES/Piker have run a Chernobyl-level campaign. Does 44 really want to glow with that exposure?
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.