Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Open9as of
Market pricing makes Iotova 12%+ the favorite at 93% across 9 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Exit polls indicate that Bulgaria's incumbent President Iliana Yotova has won the second round of the presidential election. According to a parallel tally by the polling agencies Alpha Research and Myara, she received approximately 58% of the vote, while former Prime Minister of the technical government Andrei Gyurov received approximately 39%. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Exit polls indicate that Bulgaria's incumbent President Iliana Yotova has won the second round of the presidential election. According to a parallel tally by the polling agencies Alpha Research and Myara, she received approximately 58% of the vote, while former Prime Minister of the technical government Andrei Gyurov received approximately 39%. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Exit polls indicate that Bulgaria's incumbent President Iliana Yotova has won the second round of the presidential election. According to a parallel tally by the polling agencies Alpha Research and Myara, she received approximately 58% of the vote, while former Prime Minister of the technical government Andrei Gyurov received approximately 39%. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Exit polls indicate that Bulgaria's incumbent President Iliana Yotova has won the second round of the presidential election. According to a parallel tally by the polling agencies Alpha Research and Myara, she received approximately 58% of the vote, while former Prime Minister of the technical government Andrei Gyurov received approximately 39%. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Exit polls indicate that Bulgaria's incumbent President Iliana Yotova has won the second round of the presidential election. According to a parallel tally by the polling agencies Alpha Research and Myara, she received approximately 58% of the vote, while former Prime Minister of the technical government Andrei Gyurov received approximately 39%. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Exit polls indicate that Bulgaria's incumbent President Iliana Yotova has won the second round of the presidential election. According to a parallel tally by the polling agencies Alpha Research and Myara, she received approximately 58% of the vote, while former Prime Minister of the technical government Andrei Gyurov received approximately 39%. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Exit polls indicate that Bulgaria's incumbent President Iliana Yotova has won the second round of the presidential election. According to a parallel tally by the polling agencies Alpha Research and Myara, she received approximately 58% of the vote, while former Prime Minister of the technical government Andrei Gyurov received approximately 39%. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Exit polls indicate that Bulgaria's incumbent President Iliana Yotova has won the second round of the presidential election. According to a parallel tally by the polling agencies Alpha Research and Myara, she received approximately 58% of the vote, while former Prime Minister of the technical government Andrei Gyurov received approximately 39%. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Exit polls indicate that Bulgaria's incumbent President Iliana Yotova has won the second round of the presidential election. According to a parallel tally by the polling agencies Alpha Research and Myara, she received approximately 58% of the vote, while former Prime Minister of the technical government Andrei Gyurov received approximately 39%. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Exit polls indicate that Bulgaria's incumbent President Iliana Yotova has won the second round of the presidential election. According to a parallel tally by the polling agencies Alpha Research and Myara, she received approximately 58% of the vote, while former Prime Minister of the technical government Andrei Gyurov received approximately 39%. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Exit polls indicate that Bulgaria's incumbent President Iliana Yotova has won the second round of the presidential election. According to a parallel tally by the polling agencies Alpha Research and Myara, she received approximately 58% of the vote, while former Prime Minister of the technical government Andrei Gyurov received approximately 39%. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Exit polls indicate that Bulgaria's incumbent President Iliana Yotova has won the second round of the presidential election. According to a parallel tally by the polling agencies Alpha Research and Myara, she received approximately 58% of the vote, while former Prime Minister of the technical government Andrei Gyurov received approximately 39%. Follow Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram
Candidate who opposes military aid to Ukraine wins Bulgarian presidential election by a wide margin
Iliyana Yotova receives 58.2% of the vote in the second round of the presidential election, while her opponent Andrey Gyurov receives 38.6%. These are the results of a parallel count by the Myara agency, published by the Bulgarian public broadcaster BNT.
Another 3.2% of voters chose the option "I do not support anyone." The agency estimates the turnout at 27.2%. Yotova is supported by Progressive Bulgaria, Prime Minister Rumen Radev, and the Bulgarian Socialist Party. Former Prime Minister Gyurov is supported by pro-European opposition forces.
During the pre-election debates, Yotova criticized the agreement signed by Gyurov with Ukraine. She also proposed a meeting of the six Black Sea states, including Russia, and a moratorium on hostilities in the Black Sea. Both candidates opposed sending Bulgarian troops to Ukraine. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google
Candidate who opposes military aid to Ukraine wins Bulgarian presidential election by a wide margin
Iliyana Yotova receives 58.2% of the vote in the second round of the presidential election, while her opponent Andrey Gyurov receives 38.6%. These are the results of a parallel count by the Myara agency, published by the Bulgarian public broadcaster BNT.
Another 3.2% of voters chose the option "I do not support anyone." The agency estimates the turnout at 27.2%. Yotova is supported by Progressive Bulgaria, Prime Minister Rumen Radev, and the Bulgarian Socialist Party. Former Prime Minister Gyurov is supported by pro-European opposition forces.
During the pre-election debates, Yotova criticized the agreement signed by Gyurov with Ukraine. She also proposed a meeting of the six Black Sea states, including Russia, and a moratorium on hostilities in the Black Sea. Both candidates opposed sending Bulgarian troops to Ukraine. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google
Candidate who opposes military aid to Ukraine wins Bulgarian presidential election by a wide margin
Iliyana Yotova receives 58.2% of the vote in the second round of the presidential election, while her opponent Andrey Gyurov receives 38.6%. These are the results of a parallel count by the Myara agency, published by the Bulgarian public broadcaster BNT.
Another 3.2% of voters chose the option "I do not support anyone." The agency estimates the turnout at 27.2%. Yotova is supported by Progressive Bulgaria, Prime Minister Rumen Radev, and the Bulgarian Socialist Party. Former Prime Minister Gyurov is supported by pro-European opposition forces.
During the pre-election debates, Yotova criticized the agreement signed by Gyurov with Ukraine. She also proposed a meeting of the six Black Sea states, including Russia, and a moratorium on hostilities in the Black Sea. Both candidates opposed sending Bulgarian troops to Ukraine. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google
Candidate who opposes military aid to Ukraine wins Bulgarian presidential election by a wide margin
Iliyana Yotova receives 58.2% of the vote in the second round of the presidential election, while her opponent Andrey Gyurov receives 38.6%. These are the results of a parallel count by the Myara agency, published by the Bulgarian public broadcaster BNT.
Another 3.2% of voters chose the option "I do not support anyone." The agency estimates the turnout at 27.2%. Yotova is supported by Progressive Bulgaria, Prime Minister Rumen Radev, and the Bulgarian Socialist Party. Former Prime Minister Gyurov is supported by pro-European opposition forces.
During the pre-election debates, Yotova criticized the agreement signed by Gyurov with Ukraine. She also proposed a meeting of the six Black Sea states, including Russia, and a moratorium on hostilities in the Black Sea. Both candidates opposed sending Bulgarian troops to Ukraine. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google
Candidate who opposes military aid to Ukraine wins Bulgarian presidential election by a wide margin
Iliyana Yotova receives 58.2% of the vote in the second round of the presidential election, while her opponent Andrey Gyurov receives 38.6%. These are the results of a parallel count by the Myara agency, published by the Bulgarian public broadcaster BNT.
Another 3.2% of voters chose the option "I do not support anyone." The agency estimates the turnout at 27.2%. Yotova is supported by Progressive Bulgaria, Prime Minister Rumen Radev, and the Bulgarian Socialist Party. Former Prime Minister Gyurov is supported by pro-European opposition forces.
During the pre-election debates, Yotova criticized the agreement signed by Gyurov with Ukraine. She also proposed a meeting of the six Black Sea states, including Russia, and a moratorium on hostilities in the Black Sea. Both candidates opposed sending Bulgarian troops to Ukraine. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google
Candidate who opposes military aid to Ukraine wins Bulgarian presidential election by a wide margin
Iliyana Yotova receives 58.2% of the vote in the second round of the presidential election, while her opponent Andrey Gyurov receives 38.6%. These are the results of a parallel count by the Myara agency, published by the Bulgarian public broadcaster BNT.
Another 3.2% of voters chose the option "I do not support anyone." The agency estimates the turnout at 27.2%. Yotova is supported by Progressive Bulgaria, Prime Minister Rumen Radev, and the Bulgarian Socialist Party. Former Prime Minister Gyurov is supported by pro-European opposition forces.
During the pre-election debates, Yotova criticized the agreement signed by Gyurov with Ukraine. She also proposed a meeting of the six Black Sea states, including Russia, and a moratorium on hostilities in the Black Sea. Both candidates opposed sending Bulgarian troops to Ukraine. Add News.LIVE as a reliable news source on Google
Exit polls show Bulgarian incumbent President Yotova leading in the second round of the presidential election.
Exit polls show Bulgarian incumbent President Yotova leading in the second round of the presidential election.
What is this event about?
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on November 1, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the next Bulgaria Presidential Election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If a candidate other than Iliana Iotova or Andrey Gyurov receives the most valid votes in the second round, or if the top two candidates receive exactly the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия, CIK) (e.g., https://results.cik.bg/).