Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
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This hub tracks 1 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
4 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Palestinians fear West Bank annexation after Israel approves new rules
UK GOVERNMENT: STRONGLY CONDEMNS THE ISRAELI SECURITY CABINET’S DECISION TO EXPAND ISRAELI CONTROL OVER THE WEST BANK
UK GOVERNMENT: STRONGLY CONDEMNS THE ISRAELI SECURITY CABINET’S DECISION TO EXPAND ISRAELI CONTROL OVER THE WEST BANK
‘Regavim’ Name of Israeli military facility at Gaza crossing with Egypt linked to Zionist anthem and pro-settler NGO, signalling a shift, analysts say, from security control to West Bank-style land grab and dehumanisation of Palestinians.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the Gaza Strip by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the Gaza Strip that they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.
Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law. Instances where Israeli settlers claim administrative control over land in the Gaza Strip without formal annexation will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.