Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

ResolvedOutcomes1as of

This hub tracks 1 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

YESVisegrád 2499%match9¢-100%
Ryanair will be bought [Quoting @Ryanair] > .@elonmusk
YESElon Musk99%match9¢-100%
[Replying to @Teslaconomics] @Teslaconomics The insufferable, special needs chimp currently running Ryan Air is an accountant. Has no idea how airplanes even fly. > Michael O’ Leary is fucked. Now I think there’s a much higher chance that Elon will buy Ryanair and remove him as CEO. When you have fuck you money, you have the full right to do what you want with it. Now I think a Tesla-SpaceX electric plane could be in the works…
NOPolymarket99%match91¢+10%
[Replying to @Sajwani] @Sajwani 10% chance. > So is Elon Musk really buying Ryanair ?
NOPolymarket99%match92¢+9%
[Replying to @Polymarket] 11% chance Elon buys them. > BREAKING: Ryanair CEO to address Elon's desire to replace him with someone named Ryan at a press conference tomorrow in Dublin.
YESPolymarket99%match8¢-100%
[Replying to @Ryanair] @Ryanair @elonmusk The odds of Elon buying you all are on the rise. > .@elonmusk
NOBenzinga99%match92¢+9%
[Replying to @Benzinga] Elon Musk reignited his public sparring with Ryanair after joking about buying the airline outright. He teased that if he did, he would put “a Ryan in charge of Ryanair,” calling it destiny. The comment came in response to Ryanair dismissing in flight Wi Fi as unnecessary. Musk… >
NOBenzinga99%match92¢+9%
[Replying to @Benzinga] > Elon Musk reignited his public sparring with Ryanair after joking about buying the airline outright. He teased that if he did, he would put “a Ryan in charge of Ryanair,” calling it destiny. The comment came in response to Ryanair dismissing in flight Wi Fi as unnecessary. Musk…
YESPolymarket99%match6¢-100%
BREAKING: The odds of Elon buying Ryan Air and replacing the CEO with someone named Ryan are on the rise.
NOPolymarket99%match94¢+6%
[Replying to @Polymarket] 7% chance. > BREAKING: The odds of Elon buying Ryan Air and replacing the CEO with someone named Ryan are on the rise.

What is this event about?

On January 16, Elon Musk posted that buying Ryanair might be a "good idea." You can read more about that here: https://x.com/elonmusk/status/2012172825444913299 This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity led or majority owned by him, enters into an agreement to buy Ryanair by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announced agreement between Elon Musk and Ryanair will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. An agreement to merge with a qualifying entity will count toward "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Elon Musk and Ryanair, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Related events