Will an FBI top ten most wanted fugitive be captured by June 2026?
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This hub tracks 1 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
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What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
@FBIDirectorKash: "Today, we are announcing the capture of another FBI's Most Wanted Top Ten fugitive, Ryan Wedding. That makes SIX Top Ten FBI captures in one year alone... that's two more than the entirety of the prior administration."
FBI Director Kash Patel: "Today, we are announcing the capture of another FBI's Most Wanted Top Ten fugitive, Ryan Wedding. That makes six Top Ten FBI captures in one year alone... that's two more than the entirety of the prior administration."
@FBIDirectorKash: "Today, we are announcing the capture of another FBI's Most Wanted Top Ten fugitive, Ryan Wedding. That makes SIX Top Ten FBI captures in one year alone... that's two more than the entirety of the prior administration." [Quoting @AGPamBondi]
> At my direction, Department of Justice agents @FBI have apprehended yet another member of the FBI’s Top Ten Most Wanted List: Ryan Wedding, the onetime Olympian snowboarder-turned alleged violent cocaine kingpin. Wedding was flown to the United States where he will face justice.…
Thanks to President Trump’s leadership and commitment to global law enforcement - as of this morning, the DOJ/FBI officially apprehended our SIXTH Top Ten Most Wanted Fugitive within the last year. Thank you to @AGPamBondi for her relentless pursuit of justice, the US Attorney’s…
Former Olympic snowboarder Ryan Wedding, who was on the FBI’s top fugitives list, has been arrested,
BREAKING | NBC News: Two law enforcement officials familiar with the investigation say that former Olympic snowboarder, accused cocaine trafficker, and FBI Top Ten Most Wanted Fugitive Ryan Wedding is in custody. Reported by NBC’s Mike Kosnar.
BREAKING: Two law enforcement officials familiar with the investigation say that former Olympic snowboarder, accused cocaine trafficker, and FBI Top Ten Most Wanted Fugitive Ryan Wedding is in custody. -NBC
.@FBIDirectorKash on the capture of 5 Top 10 Most Wanted fugitives during @POTUS’ first year in office: “This can only happen when you [put] law enforcement first and you’re letting good cops be cops.”
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone on the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) Ten Most Wanted Fugitives list (https://www.fbi.gov/wanted/topten) is captured by United States law enforcement authorities between market issuance and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A fugitive being captured is defined as the fugitive being arrested by United States law enforcement authorities, voluntarily surrendering to United States law enforcement authorities, being extradited by a non-US entity to United States law enforcement authorities, or otherwise being taken into formal custody by United States law enforcement authorities.
An individual on the FBI Ten Most Wanted Fugitives list being captured by a non-US entity, without subsequent extradition or equivalent transfer into United States law enforcement custody, will not count. Captures by United States forces overseas will count.
Only individuals who are on the FBI Ten Most Wanted Fugitives list at the time of their capture will count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United States law enforcement authorities and/or United States local, state or federal government entities; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.