Who will Trump speak to in September?
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This hub tracks 22 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Xi Jinping100%
Vladimir Putin100%
Emmanuel Macron100%
Ahmed al-Sharaa100%
Friedrich Merz100%
Mark Carney100%
Elon Musk100%
Andy Burnham100%
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Pope Leo XIV affirms need for media when asked about Trump ban at White House
President Trump speaks at the State Dinner for President Xi, attended by Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Supreme Court justices, cabinet members, top Fox News hosts, and more.
Visiting Pope Leo XIV in the Vatican.
President Trump is hosting Chinese President Xi Jinping in Washington, with trade, Iran and technology among the issues expected to dominate their talks. Meanwhile, the Iranian president struck a defiant tone at the UN while saying Tehran remains open to negotiations. @MargBrennan reports.
Xi Jinping arrived in the US for talks with Trump
Chinese President Xi Jinping has arrived in the United States for a meeting with Donald Trump
[UPDATE] Xi Jinping arrives for high-stakes summit with Donald Trump (first reported at 2026-09-23T20:51:16Z)
CHINESE PRESIDENT XI JINPING ARRIVES IN THE US FOR A STATE VISIT, PER XINHUA • • He meets Trump on Thursday. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent called weekend talks with Chinese officials on AI and trade "very successful," with the two sides agreeing to set up a US-China AI dialogue.
Trump and Xi Jinping to meet today… Will they choose relationship stability without a ‘big deal’?
Live: Trump to welcome Xi Jinping after UNGA speech threatening Iran
A summit the world is watching closely... Trump welcomes Chinese President Xi Jinping and expects "many deals" to be made. #AlArabiya_Business
A meeting between Trump and Xi is about to take place. US media reports that Xi Jinping may not bring a delegation of Chinese companies with him.
His Excellency President Ahmed Al-Sharaa and Minister of Foreign Affairs and Expatriates Asaad Hassan Al-Shaibani participated in an expanded meeting held by US President Donald Trump with representatives of the Gulf Cooperation Council countries, the Arab Republic of Egypt, the Republic of Turkey, the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, the Republic of Iraq, and the Lebanese Republic, on the sidelines of the 81st session of the United Nations General Assembly.
President Ahmed al-Sharaa participated in a meeting held by US President Donald Trump with a number of leaders of Arab and Islamic countries, on the sidelines of the 81st session of the United Nations General Assembly in New York. #SANA
President Ahmed al-Sharaa participated today in a meeting held by US President Donald Trump with a number of leaders of Arab and Islamic countries, on the sidelines of the 81st session of the United Nations General Assembly in New York. #Syrian_Presidency
Xi Jinping is traveling to the United States for talks with Donald Trump. The Chinese leader's state visit will last from September 23 to 25. Trade will be a key topic. The current ceasefire expires on November 10, and the parties have not yet been able to agree on an extension. Washington needs results that Trump can present domestically as a success: increased Chinese purchases of American agricultural and energy products, new commercial contracts, according to Nong Hong, executive director of the Institute for US-China Studies. Economic ties between the US and China continue to deteriorate. In the first half of the year, American imports from China fell by 23%, while accumulated Chinese direct investment in the US in 2025 fell by 41%, noted Evgeny Khoroshilov, head of the economic research department at ISCRAN. Max | Telegram | Newsletter | iOS App | Android
Iranian affairs researcher Wajdan Abdul Rahman: I highly doubt that Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian will meet with his American counterpart Donald Trump, given the hardliners' rejection of any meeting that doesn't serve the interests of the Iranian regime.
Ahead of President Xi Jinping’s state visit to the United States from Sept. 23 to 25, #China-#US relations enter a new moment of high-level engagement. Following the presidents’ Beijing meeting in May, the upcoming visit will spotlight dialogue, cooperation and managing differences within the framework of constructive strategic stability. #ChinaUS #Diplomacy #GlobalStability
Trump to Mark Rutte: You are a great leader
A US official told CNN that Trump assured his advisors that a meeting with the Iranians could happen if circumstances allowed. The official's remarks coincide with the arrival in New York of the Iranian delegation, headed by Masoud Pezeshkian and Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi, to participate in the United Nations meetings.
A US official told CNN that Trump assured his advisors that a meeting with the Iranians could happen if circumstances allowed. The official's remarks coincide with the arrival in New York of the Iranian delegation, headed by Masoud Pezeshkian and Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi, to participate in the United Nations meetings.
Some of the internal questions around a potential meeting on the sidelines of UNGA have centered on whether such a conversation would be meaningful to the Trump administration’s efforts to find an off ramp to the US war with Iran. There is also some skepticism about whether the officials present in New York have the confidence of Tehran’s Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei, who is viewed as the ultimate decision maker, the official said. • • It’s also unclear, the official said, if the Iranians are also open to a potential meeting.
On the eve of President Xi Jinping and Madam Peng Liyuan's visit to the White House, First Lady Melania Trump announced details of the arrangements. President Donald J. Trump and First Lady Melania Trump will welcome President Xi Jinping and Madam Peng Liyuan to the White House on Thursday, September 24, 2026, for an official state visit to the United States. This visit marks a significant milestone in bilateral relations, more than a decade after President Xi and Madam Peng's last visit to the White House. On Wednesday, September 23, the President will welcome President Xi Jinping and Madam Peng Liyuan at Joint Base Andrews. On Thursday morning, September 24, the President and First Lady will hold a state welcoming ceremony to greet President Xi Jinping and Madam Peng Liyuan. The ceremony will take place on the South Lawn, State Room, and Rose Garden of the White House, with 479 military personnel representing all branches of the U.S. Armed Forces participating. The welcoming ceremony will begin with a procession of the highest-ranking U.S. armed forces honor guard along the south driveway of the White House, extending to the flag display area on the South Portico featuring both the American and Chinese flags. The U.S. Army bugle corps will then play ceremonial music on the South Portico, and the President and First Lady will greet His Excellency Xi Jinping and Madam Peng Liyuan as they enter the White House. On the State Room, the U.S. Marine Corps band, known as the "Presidential Band," will play the national anthems of the People's Republic of China and the United States of America, followed by speeches from the President and His Excellency Xi Jinping. The ceremony will also include a U.S. Marine Corps silent rifle drill platoon and a presidential salute held by the U.S. Joint Services Command on the South Lawn. Following this, a military review will take place in the Rose Garden, with the U.S. Army bugle corps marching along the eaves of the West Portico and the Oval Portico. The U.S. Army Old Guard Piper and Bugle Corps, the U.S. Marine Corps Silent Rifle Drill Platoon, and the U.S. Marine Corps drum and bugle corps, known as the "Commander's Band," will perform military demonstrations. The ceremony concluded with a military airshow featuring a B-2 Spirit bomber and four F-22 Raptor fighter jets. Following the welcoming ceremony, First Lady Trump and Madam Peng Liyuan will visit the Smithsonian National Museum of Asian Art to admire centuries of artistic achievement and works of art reflecting the history of Sino-US cultural exchange. On Thursday evening, the President and First Lady will welcome His Excellency Xi Jinping and Madam Peng Liyuan to the North Portico of the White House, followed by a state dinner in the East Room. Further details regarding the state dinner will be released by the First Lady's Office on Wednesday, September 23. On Friday morning, the President and First Lady will welcome His Excellency Xi Jinping and Madam Peng Liyuan to the South Portico of the White House, followed by tea in the Red Room. Afterwards, the four will visit the National Archives in Washington, D.C., to view a series of important archives and documents that have historically been significant to US-China relations. At the end of this historic state visit, the President and First Lady will bid farewell to His Excellency Xi Jinping and Madam Peng Liyuan at the National Archives. To view the original text: This translation is for reference only; only the original English text can be considered an authoritative source.
It’s past 10 p.m. in New York, and French President Emmanuel Macron is meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. • • Macron met with President Trump earlier today. Zelensky is set to meet with Trump on Tuesday at 1:15 p.m. • • Zelensky walked to Macron’s residence.
Emmanuel Macron is walking to Trump Tower in New York this Monday, September 21, where he is scheduled to meet with Donald Trump, on the eve of the United Nations General Assembly. #BFM2
The second meeting between Trump and Xi will take place on the 24th, marking Xi Jinping's first state visit to the United States in 11 years.
President Trump's schedule for the rest of the day: • • 4:10 PM ET: Meets with New York City Mayor, Zohran Mamdani, Gracie Mansion, Closed Press • • 5:35 PM ET: Meets with the President of the French Republic, Emmanuel Macron, New York, New York, Closed Press • <br... President Trump's schedule for the rest of the day: • • 4:10 PM ET: Meets with New York City Mayor, Zohran Mamdani, Gracie Mansion, Closed Press • • 5:35 PM ET: Meets with the President of the French Republic, Emmanuel Macron, New York, New York, Closed Press • • 6:00 PM ET: Participates in an RNC Reception, New York, New York, Closed Press • • 7:10 PM ET: Participates in a MAGA Inc. Dinner, New York, New York, Closed Press
AI, Trade, Taiwan—Here’s What To Expect From The Trump-Xi D.C. Summit: Expert. • President Donald Trump and China’s President Xi Jinping are expected to meet in Washington, D.C., later this week for a summit.
At the invitation of President Donald J. Trump, President Xi Jinping will pay a state visit to the United States from Sept. 23 to 25. During his visit, President Xi will have in-depth exchange of views with President Trump on major issues concerning bilateral ties and world peace and development. #China #US
Washington Times: Trump to personally greet Chinese president as plane lands near Washington on Wednesday The Washington Times reported: Chinese President Xi Jinping will arrive in the United States on Wednesday for the first official visit by a Chinese president to the country in more than a decade, to hold high-profile talks with President Donald Trump. Trump will personally greet Xi at Joint Base Andrews. The move is unusual, as Trump usually meets with foreign leaders at the White House./Election
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.
If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.