Who will Trump speak to in September?
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Market pricing makes Xi Jinping the favorite at 95% across 22 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
6 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Trump to meet Kim Jong-un first, possibility of a second summit after midterm elections
Trump to meet Kim Jong-un first, could hold second summit after midterm elections
Trump to meet Kim Jong-un first, possibility of a second summit after midterm elections
Xi Jinping may have a busy September with numerous overseas trips, including visits to Kyrgyzstan and Egypt, and a planned visit to the US later in the month. There are also speculations of a visit to India.
Al Arabiya correspondent Pierre Ghanem: Trump is not interested in messages from Mojtaba Khamenei, but he believes the difficulty in reaching him was hindering negotiations. The administration is interested in the new leadership appointed by the Supreme Leader because they are more hardline than previous teams.
Xi Jinping's September visit to the US draws attention; China's Foreign Ministry: China and the US maintain communication on head-of-state interactions this year.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.
If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.