Who will Trump speak to in September?Mark Carney
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$29Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said he had been in touch with Donald Trump in recent days. The conversation took place against the backdrop of the collapse of the trade deal between Washington and Ottawa and the imposition of reciprocal tariffs. Carney noted that Canada is ready to conclude a "fair deal" with the United States. According to him, Ottawa believes an agreement that will be beneficial to both sides is possible. Relations between the US and Canada have worsened against the backdrop of the 50% tariffs on Canadian goods imposed by Donald Trump on August 22. Canada, in turn, imposed retaliatory tariffs of 15, 25, and 50% on imports of US goods worth a total of $27.6 billion on September 8. In addition, on September 9, the White House excluded certain Canadian goods from imports to the United States. More news from IZ RU in MAX
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 95%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between September 1 and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.
The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by either of the specified individuals or their official representatives will also be considered.
Statements by the specified individuals or their official representatives will only be considered conclusive if the claims explicitly, or in context unambiguously, indicate that a qualifying talk occurred within the specified timeframe and took place via verbal communication, and provided that such claims are not contradicted by the other specified individual, their representatives, or credible media reporting by the end of the third calendar date (ET) following the statement in question.
This market will resolve at the earlier of i) a qualifying verbal interaction being confirmed under the above rules or ii) 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe.
If the date and time of a qualifying talk cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting by 11:59 PM ET on the third calendar day following this market's above-specified timeframe, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.
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