Who will Trump publicly praise in August?
Open21as of
Market pricing makes Jon Rahm the favorite at 43% across 21 tracked outcomes, as of .
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Zohran Mamdani100%
Elon Musk100%
Dana White100%
Gianni Infantino100%
Delcy Rodriguez100%
Xi Jinping100%
Roger Penske100%
Kevin Warsh100%
Byron Donalds100%
Andy Burnham100%
Jon Rahm43%
Mark Rutte24%
Javier Milei23%
Doug Ford22%
Nicki Minaj18%
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Doug Ford says it’s time to turn down the temperature one day after calling Donald Trump ‘a loser’
"And I've got a lot of room on my butt, so he's got plenty of room to move around": Premier of the Canadian province of Ontario Doug Ford confirmed that he offered US President Donald Trump a kiss on one of his parts. The piquant offer was made today during a morning radio broadcast. "And I've got a lot of room on my butt, so he's got plenty of room to move around. I'm a big guy. What can I say?" — this is how Doug Ford responded to journalists’ requests to comment on his statements. Ford didn’t stop there and noted that his little toe has more courage and intelligence than the American leader’s entire body. “In school, he would have been the kind of guy who would take your lunch money today, take your hat off your head tomorrow, and then steal your sneakers. But I’m not going to take advice from a man who is the king of bankruptcy,” added the Premier of the Canadian province. Today, Canadian Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne announced that the country will introduce retaliatory tariffs against the United States in the amount of $27.6 billion. More news from IZ RU in MAX [in reply to: Canada will introduce retaliatory tariffs against the United States in the amount of $27.6 billion in September, said the Canadian Finance Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne. Tariffs of 15%, 25% and 50% will affect steel, electronics, dairy products, agricultural equipment, household appliances and the pulp and paper industry. Donald Trump, in turn, said that over the past decade, the United States has lost an average of $60 billion a year because of Canada. "For 10 years, they did not certify the aircraft of the [American corporation] Gulfstream until I intervened. They wanted 100% of the market to go to Gulfstream's Canadian competitor. I do business with many countries, and Canada is by far the most difficult and unreasonable. They think they have the right to do this, but they are not an [American] state, and therefore they will no longer have that right," he wrote in Truth Social. On August 23, the president The US announced an increase in tariffs on automobiles, auto parts, and steel from Canada to 50% effective January 1, 2027. More IZ RU news in MAX]
After a clip parade of insults from Premier Doug Ford, this morning Donald Trump says the U.S. won't do much business with Ontario and muses about "changing the name" of Lake Ontario
The United States admires Ukrainians and is confident in their prosperous future - congratulations from Trump on Independence Day President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy reported receiving congratulations from US President Donald Trump on the occasion of the 35th anniversary of the restoration of Ukraine's independence, which was celebrated on Monday. "On behalf of the American people, I congratulate you and the citizens of Ukraine on your Independence Day... With courageous, brave and talented people, you have built a great country. As you celebrate this important event, know that the United States admires your steadfast spirit, honors your sacrifices and remains confident in your future as a sovereign, prosperous nation," Zelenskyy quoted Trump's congratulations on the social network X on Tuesday morning....
#congratulations #trump #independence_day @interfax_uk
'Bully': Feud erupts between Trump and Ontario's Doug Ford over US-Canada trade war
Premier Doug Ford reacted in real time to a President Donald Trump social media post singling him out. • • Ford called Trump a dictator, a bully, king of bankruptcies. • • I asked the Premier about taking that approach
Live: In dig at Ontario premier Doug Ford, Trump calls him less impressive than late brother Rob Ford, Toronto mayor caught on video smoking crack
Doug Ford and Donald Trump exchange insults as trade war heats up. Live updates here.
Live: Donald Trump said there is a lot of “bluster” coming from Ontario premier Doug Ford, as the two engaged in a war of words on Monday. Trump called Ford the “less
Trump responses to Doug Ford: Without US, Canada couldn’t survive- It’s where they get all of their money and, because of their current bad leadership, primarily Governor Carney, and his Flunky, Ford, they will not be allowed to keep taking advantage of US- Their key to survival
President Trump complains about “Flunky” Doug Ford and Canadian PM Mark Carney. “Someone should get these clowns to “fall in line” or, the consequences for Canada will be far WORSE!“
*TRUMP: LOTS OF “BLUSTER” FROM DOUG FORD
The gap between Netanyahu and Trump; Is "Bibi" his own worst enemy? Axios report reveals the growing gap between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu; While polls show the Israeli Prime Minister's popularity plummeting, Trump refuses to explicitly endorse him in the election. Read the full text in the link below... @Nournews_ir
FWD from ISNA Sports: Politics in football again; Trump against Infantino's removal! If FIFA even thinks about replacing Gianni Infantino for any reason, it will be making a huge mistake. He is fantastic and has just presided over the most successful World Cup in history; a tournament that was four times more successful than any other. If he leaves, the tournament will never reach that level of success or profitability again! @SportIsna
Trump's interference in FIFA issues and a line for Infantino's opponents US President: If FIFA, for any reason, thinks about removing and replacing Gianni Infantino, it will make a big mistake. He is extraordinary and organized the most successful World Cup in history, whose profits were four times higher than previous ones. If he leaves, FIFA will no longer see the color of success and profitability! Thank you for your attention to this issue. nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
Trump sides with Gianni Infantino in the power struggle
FIFA President Under Criticism The three confederations UEFA, CONCACAF and the Asian Football Confederation stated in a joint letter against Infantino that football "does not belong to anyone". Infantino has faced severe criticism after proposing to bring private investment into FIFA competitions and then withdrawing it. FIFA elections will be held next March. @iribnews [in reply to: Trump's interference in FIFA-related issues and a line for Infantino's opponents US President: If the World Football Federation (FIFA) thinks about removing and replacing Gianni Infantino for any reason, it will be making a big mistake. He is extraordinary and organized the most successful World Cup in history, with profits four times higher than previous ones. If he leaves, FIFA will no longer see the colors of success and profitability! Thank you for your attention to this issue. @iribnews]
Trump's interference in FIFA matters and a line for Infantino's opponents US President: If FIFA, for any reason, thinks about removing and replacing Gianni Infantino, it will make a big mistake. He is extraordinary and organized the most successful World Cup in history, which was four times more profitable than previous ones. If he leaves, FIFA will no longer see the color of success and profitability! Thank you for your attention to this issue. @YjcNewsChannel
Trump's interference in FIFA matters and a line for Infantino's opponents US President: If the International Football Federation (FIFA) considers removing and replacing Gianni Infantino for any reason, it will make a big mistake. He is extraordinary and organized the most successful World Cup in history, whose profits were four times higher than previous ones. If he leaves, FIFA will no longer see the color of success and profitability! Thank you for your attention to this issue. Get the latest news:
Site | Ita | Yes | Rubika | Soroush Plus @snntv
Trump's obvious interference in FIFA matters and a sign for Infantino's opponents The head of the terrorist US government: If the World Football Federation (FIFA) thinks about removing and replacing Gianni Infantino for any reason, it will make a big mistake. He is extraordinary and organized the most successful World Cup in history, whose profits were four times higher than previous ones. If he leaves, FIFA will no longer see the color of success and profitability! Thank you for your attention to this issue. Mizan on social networks @mizanplus
Trump's interference in FIFA issues and a line for Infantino's opponents US President: If FIFA, for any reason, thinks about removing and replacing Gianni Infantino, it will make a big mistake. He is extraordinary and organized the most successful World Cup in history, which was four times more profitable than previous ones. If he leaves, FIFA will no longer see the color of success and profitability! Thank you for your attention to this issue. @iribnews [in reply to: Strange incident at the World Cup
Trump thanked FIFA for forgiving the red card of the American player! With the announcement of FIFA after the US Soccer Federation protested, the adult's red card was suspended and he will be present in the match against Belgium, which also led to the reaction of the US President. @iribnews]
President Trump warns FIFA will pay a massive price if it ousts chief Gianni Infantino
Donald Trump says it would be a ‘terrible mistake’ to replace Fifa’s Gianni Infantino
BREAKING Trump backs FIFA president Gianni Infantino, who is in hot water over allegations of a workplace affair and criticism of a failed private investment scheme
Trump: FIFA would be making a huge mistake if they considered replacing President Gianni Infantino for any reason.
*TRUMP OFFERS SUPPORT FOR GIANNI INFANTINO IN TRUTH SOCIAL POST
*TRUMP OFFERS SUPPORT FOR GIANNI INFANTINO
Trump says it’s up Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh “a little bit, but not completely, whether to avoid hiking interest rates before the election, he tells Punchbowl News in an interview. • • Asked whether Warsh should avoid hiking interest rates before the election, Trump told Punchbowl: “Well, it’s up to him a little bit, but not completely. He’s got a board that’s very political … It’s not totally up to him. It’s up to a board. I think he’s great. I won’t be criticizing him.
Trump: Fed rate decisions not solely up to Warsh • Trump said Fed rate decisions are not solely determined by Fed chair Kevin Warsh and that Warsh “has a very politicized committee” and that policy is decided by the committee. Asked whether Warsh should avoid a rate hike before the midterms, Trump said “it depends on him to some extent, but not entirely,” and added “I think he’s great. I won’t criticize him.” (
For the FED watchers. • • I asked Trump whether KEVIN WARSH should avoid a rate hike before the election: • • “Well, it's up to him a little bit, but not completely. He's got a board that's very political … It's not totally up to him. It's up to a board. I think he's great. I won't be criticizing him. • •
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.