Who will Trump publicly praise in August?Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Open$926as of
Odds now
The market prices a 40% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES40¢
NO60¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
The United States admires Ukrainians and is confident in their prosperous future - congratulations from Trump on Independence Day President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelenskyy reported receiving congratulations from US President Donald Trump on the occasion of the 35th anniversary of the restoration of Ukraine's independence, which was celebrated on Monday. "On behalf of the American people, I congratulate you and the citizens of Ukraine on your Independence Day... With courageous, brave and talented people, you have built a great country. As you celebrate this important event, know that the United States admires your steadfast spirit, honors your sacrifices and remains confident in your future as a sovereign, prosperous nation," Zelenskyy quoted Trump's congratulations on the social network X on Tuesday morning....
#congratulations #trump #independence_day @interfax_uk
Where does the news lean?
1YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 91%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
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