Who will Trump publicly praise in August?Doug Ford
Open$662as of
Odds now
The market prices a 22% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES22¢
NO79¢
as of
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
"And I've got a lot of room on my butt, so he's got plenty of room to move around": Premier of the Canadian province of Ontario Doug Ford confirmed that he offered US President Donald Trump a kiss on one of his parts. The piquant offer was made today during a morning radio broadcast. "And I've got a lot of room on my butt, so he's got plenty of room to move around. I'm a big guy. What can I say?" — this is how Doug Ford responded to journalists’ requests to comment on his statements. Ford didn’t stop there and noted that his little toe has more courage and intelligence than the American leader’s entire body. “In school, he would have been the kind of guy who would take your lunch money today, take your hat off your head tomorrow, and then steal your sneakers. But I’m not going to take advice from a man who is the king of bankruptcy,” added the Premier of the Canadian province. Today, Canadian Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne announced that the country will introduce retaliatory tariffs against the United States in the amount of $27.6 billion. More news from IZ RU in MAX [in reply to: Canada will introduce retaliatory tariffs against the United States in the amount of $27.6 billion in September, said the Canadian Finance Minister Francois-Philippe Champagne. Tariffs of 15%, 25% and 50% will affect steel, electronics, dairy products, agricultural equipment, household appliances and the pulp and paper industry. Donald Trump, in turn, said that over the past decade, the United States has lost an average of $60 billion a year because of Canada. "For 10 years, they did not certify the aircraft of the [American corporation] Gulfstream until I intervened. They wanted 100% of the market to go to Gulfstream's Canadian competitor. I do business with many countries, and Canada is by far the most difficult and unreasonable. They think they have the right to do this, but they are not an [American] state, and therefore they will no longer have that right," he wrote in Truth Social. On August 23, the president The US announced an increase in tariffs on automobiles, auto parts, and steel from Canada to 50% effective January 1, 2027. More IZ RU news in MAX]
After a clip parade of insults from Premier Doug Ford, this morning Donald Trump says the U.S. won't do much business with Ontario and muses about "changing the name" of Lake Ontario
'Bully': Feud erupts between Trump and Ontario's Doug Ford over US-Canada trade war
Live: In dig at Ontario premier Doug Ford, Trump calls him less impressive than late brother Rob Ford, Toronto mayor caught on video smoking crack
Doug Ford and Donald Trump exchange insults as trade war heats up. Live updates here.
Live: Donald Trump said there is a lot of “bluster” coming from Ontario premier Doug Ford, as the two engaged in a war of words on Monday. Trump called Ford the “less
Trump responses to Doug Ford: Without US, Canada couldn’t survive- It’s where they get all of their money and, because of their current bad leadership, primarily Governor Carney, and his Flunky, Ford, they will not be allowed to keep taking advantage of US- Their key to survival
President Trump complains about “Flunky” Doug Ford and Canadian PM Mark Carney. “Someone should get these clowns to “fall in line” or, the consequences for Canada will be far WORSE!“
NONews93%match58¢+34%
*TRUMP: LOTS OF “BLUSTER” FROM DOUG FORD
Where does the news lean?
0YES11NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 93%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual.
Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify).
General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.
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