NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Open39as of
This hub tracks 39 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Micah Lasher100%
Other0%
All further outcomes (9 more):
Candidate I · Candidate K · Candidate M · Candidate O · Candidate P · Candidate S · Candidate Q · Candidate T · Candidate R
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
George Conway raised over $3.2 million in the first quarter after launching in early January, per his campaign. #NY12
AI super PAC flames Alex Bores for his support from a different AI super PAC.
GENERATIONAL SHIFT: President John F. Kennedy's grandson and Democratic congressional hopeful Jack Schlossberg calls out his own party for losing key voters to Trump and the GOP. • • The grandson of the late president admits Trump gets people "fired up" about politics, giving the president "a lot of credit" in swaying young male voters away from the Democratic Party.
Jack Schlossberg on why Democrats lost young men to Trump—and it starts with the reason he quit the Biden campaign. • Schlossberg also told Fortune which party really represents “modernity,” and why Democrats need to stand for something.
Former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi plans to endorse JFK’s grandson, Jack Schlossberg, for the highly contested race in New York’s 12th District.
Nancy Pelosi plans to endorse Jack Schlossberg, JFK's grandson, for US House seat.
Nancy Pelosi plans to endorse Jack Schlossberg, JFK's grandson, for US House seat.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.