Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?

OpenOutcomes20as of

Market pricing makes Treg Taylor the favorite at 42% across 20 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Dave Bronson100%
Tom Begich100%
Bernadette Wilson100%
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins100%
Treg Taylor42%
Click Bishop18%
Adam Crum2%
Shelley Hughes2%
Bill Walker2%
Bruce Walden1%
Nancy Dahlstrom0%
Matt Heilala0%
Hank Kroll0%
Edna DeVries0%
James Parkin0%
Matt Claman0%
Jessica Faircloth0%
Destry J. Payne Sr.0%
Gregg Brelsford0%
Lesil McGuire0%

What moved the odds?

27 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Dave Bronsonapnews.com98%match97¢+3%
Republican Dave Bronson advances to the general election for governor in Alaska
Dave BronsonDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match99¢+1%
Decision Desk HQ projects Dave Bronson wins the Alaska Governor Primary • • #DecisionMade: 8:19 AM EDT
Bernadette Wilsonapnews.com98%match99¢+1%
Republican Bernadette Wilson advances to the general election for governor in Alaska
Dave BronsonDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match50¢+100%
GOVERNOR • • Democrats Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich have been projected to win, along with Republican Bernadette Wilson. • • The last spot has not been projected yet, but Dave Bronson holds a lead of around a percentage point. • •
Bernadette WilsonDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match100¢
GOVERNOR • • Democrats Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich have been projected to win, along with Republican Bernadette Wilson. • • The last spot has not been projected yet, but Dave Bronson holds a lead of around a percentage point. • •
Bernadette WilsonDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match92¢+9%
Decision Desk HQ projects Bernadette Wilson wins the Alaska Governor Primary • • #DecisionMade: 2:01 AM EDT
Dave BronsonDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match54¢+85%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 24,632 (21.6%) • Tom Begich (D): 22,252 (19.6%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 12,392 (10.9%) • Dave Bronson (R): 9,778 (8.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Tom BegichDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 24,632 (21.6%) • Tom Begich (D): 22,252 (19.6%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 12,392 (10.9%) • Dave Bronson (R): 9,778 (8.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Bernadette WilsonDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match92¢+9%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 24,632 (21.6%) • Tom Begich (D): 22,252 (19.6%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 12,392 (10.9%) • Dave Bronson (R): 9,778 (8.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 24,632 (21.6%) • Tom Begich (D): 22,252 (19.6%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 12,392 (10.9%) • Dave Bronson (R): 9,778 (8.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkinsms.now98%match87¢+15%
Live: Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advances to Alaska gubernatorial general election
Tom Begichms.now98%match99¢+1%
Live: Democrat Tom Begich advances to Alaska gubernatorial general election
Dave BronsonDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match55¢+82%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 61% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 18,098 (21.2%) • Tom Begich (D): 16,155 (19.0%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 9,433 (11.1%) • Dave Bronson (R): 7,198 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Tom BegichDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 61% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 18,098 (21.2%) • Tom Begich (D): 16,155 (19.0%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 9,433 (11.1%) • Dave Bronson (R): 7,198 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Bernadette WilsonDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match92¢+9%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 61% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 18,098 (21.2%) • Tom Begich (D): 16,155 (19.0%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 9,433 (11.1%) • Dave Bronson (R): 7,198 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match87¢+15%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 61% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 18,098 (21.2%) • Tom Begich (D): 16,155 (19.0%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 9,433 (11.1%) • Dave Bronson (R): 7,198 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Tom BegichAPws98%match99¢+1%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Tom Begich advances to the general election for governor in Alaska
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsAPws98%match87¢+15%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advances to the general election for governor in Alaska
Tom Begichapnews.com98%match99¢+1%
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Tom Begich advances to the general election for governor in Alaska
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkinsapnews.com98%match87¢+15%
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advances to the general election for governor in Alaska
Dave BronsonDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match55¢+82%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 33% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 9,936 (21.7%) • Tom Begich (D): 9,117 (19.9%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 4,790 (10.5%) • Dave Bronson (R): 4,007 (8.8%) • Treg Taylor (R): 3,493 (7.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Tom BegichDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 33% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 9,936 (21.7%) • Tom Begich (D): 9,117 (19.9%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 4,790 (10.5%) • Dave Bronson (R): 4,007 (8.8%) • Treg Taylor (R): 3,493 (7.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Bernadette WilsonDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match92¢+9%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 33% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 9,936 (21.7%) • Tom Begich (D): 9,117 (19.9%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 4,790 (10.5%) • Dave Bronson (R): 4,007 (8.8%) • Treg Taylor (R): 3,493 (7.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match87¢+15%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 33% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 9,936 (21.7%) • Tom Begich (D): 9,117 (19.9%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 4,790 (10.5%) • Dave Bronson (R): 4,007 (8.8%) • Treg Taylor (R): 3,493 (7.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Treg TaylorDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match79¢-27%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 33% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 9,936 (21.7%) • Tom Begich (D): 9,117 (19.9%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 4,790 (10.5%) • Dave Bronson (R): 4,007 (8.8%) • Treg Taylor (R): 3,493 (7.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Tom BegichDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match99¢+1%
Decision Desk HQ projects Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich win the Alaska Governor Primary • • #DecisionMade: 1:01 AM EDT
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match87¢+15%
Decision Desk HQ projects Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich win the Alaska Governor Primary • • #DecisionMade: 1:01 AM EDT

What is this event about?

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.

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