Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?Dave Bronson
Open$20Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 100% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Republican Dave Bronson advances to the general election for governor in Alaska
Decision Desk HQ projects Dave Bronson wins the Alaska Governor Primary • • #DecisionMade: 8:19 AM EDT
GOVERNOR • • Democrats Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich have been projected to win, along with Republican Bernadette Wilson. • • The last spot has not been projected yet, but Dave Bronson holds a lead of around a percentage point. • •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 24,632 (21.6%) • Tom Begich (D): 22,252 (19.6%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 12,392 (10.9%) • Dave Bronson (R): 9,778 (8.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 61% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 18,098 (21.2%) • Tom Begich (D): 16,155 (19.0%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 9,433 (11.1%) • Dave Bronson (R): 7,198 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Where does the news lean?
6YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Signal flow leans YES at 60% — signal sentiment, not the market price. Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
What would make this resolve YES?
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
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