Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$19Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
7 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 24,632 (21.6%) • Tom Begich (D): 22,252 (19.6%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 12,392 (10.9%) • Dave Bronson (R): 9,778 (8.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advances to Alaska gubernatorial general election
DDHQ Race Update (est. 61% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 18,098 (21.2%) • Tom Begich (D): 16,155 (19.0%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 9,433 (11.1%) • Dave Bronson (R): 7,198 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
YESAPws98%match87¢+15%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advances to the general election for governor in Alaska
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advances to the general election for governor in Alaska
DDHQ Race Update (est. 33% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 9,936 (21.7%) • Tom Begich (D): 9,117 (19.9%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 4,790 (10.5%) • Dave Bronson (R): 4,007 (8.8%) • Treg Taylor (R): 3,493 (7.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Decision Desk HQ projects Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich win the Alaska Governor Primary • • #DecisionMade: 1:01 AM EDT
Where does the news lean?
7YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
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See all outcomes for Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.