Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?Bernadette Wilson
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$20Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
5 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Republican Bernadette Wilson advances to the general election for governor in Alaska
GOVERNOR • • Democrats Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins and Tom Begich have been projected to win, along with Republican Bernadette Wilson. • • The last spot has not been projected yet, but Dave Bronson holds a lead of around a percentage point. • •
Decision Desk HQ projects Bernadette Wilson wins the Alaska Governor Primary • • #DecisionMade: 2:01 AM EDT
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 24,632 (21.6%) • Tom Begich (D): 22,252 (19.6%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 12,392 (10.9%) • Dave Bronson (R): 9,778 (8.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 61% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 18,098 (21.2%) • Tom Begich (D): 16,155 (19.0%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 9,433 (11.1%) • Dave Bronson (R): 7,198 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Where does the news lean?
6YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
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See all outcomes for Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.