Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

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Market pricing makes Thom Tillis the favorite at 11% across 15 tracked outcomes, as of .

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23 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

WATCH: Sen. Angela Alsobrooks says the failure of the crypto bill (Clarity Act) was “not because of Democrats” and accuses Republican leadership of wanting to use the issue for political advantage ahead of the midterms • • Democrats unanimously opposed it (46 no, 0 yes, 1 non-vote). 4 Republicans joined them, including Sen. Thom Tillis—who switched his vote to "no" at the last second strictly as a procedural move to allow a future vote to reconsider.
A group of Senate Democrats, including Gillibrand, Cortez Masto and Alsobrooks say they are still committed to passing the Clarity Act •
The Senate voted 49-50 against the Clarity Act, so what happens next? • - One Republican Senate aide told me that they think the bill is dead. • - But Rep. Thom Tillis, who initially voted yes and then changed it to no, did so as part of a procedural process to potentially vote on the bill again. • - However, others voted no to the bill, including a surprise from Sen. Gillibrand (have not heard back yet on why) • • But time is running out as elections loom in November.... • • More here:
Jerry Moranzerohedge97%match94¢-2%
Senators voted 49-50 to reject the so-called Clarity Act • • Every Democrat voted against the measure. Three Republicans - Sens. Susan Collins of Maine, Josh Hawley of Missouri and Jerry Moran of Kansas - also voted against the measure. • • If Dems sweep, data centers are next.
Josh Hawleyzerohedge97%match88¢+7%
Senators voted 49-50 to reject the so-called Clarity Act • • Every Democrat voted against the measure. Three Republicans - Sens. Susan Collins of Maine, Josh Hawley of Missouri and Jerry Moran of Kansas - also voted against the measure. • • If Dems sweep, data centers are next.
Several Democrats who may have been on the fence in passing the bill, including Sens. Kirsten Gillibrand, Catherine Cortez Masto, Angela Alsobrooks, Cory Booker and Mark Warner, ultimately voted against the Clarity Act. • • In a statement shortly after the procedural vote, Warner said a bill could not move forward that would allow the president to profit personally from the crypto industry. • • "We got close to resolving some of the toughest outstanding issues around law enforcement and national security, but ultimately, the failure to address this fundamental conflict of interest made it impossible for me to support moving forward," Warner said in the statement. "That is why I voted no today." • •
Several Democrats who may have been on the fence in passing the bill, including Sens. Kirsten Gillibrand, Catherine Cortez Masto, Angela Alsobrooks, Cory Booker and Mark Warner, ultimately voted against the Clarity Act. • • In a statement shortly after the procedural vote, Warner said a bill could not move forward that would allow the president to profit personally from the crypto industry. • • "We got close to resolving some of the toughest outstanding issues around law enforcement and national security, but ultimately, the failure to address this fundamental conflict of interest made it impossible for me to support moving forward," Warner said in the statement. "That is why I voted no today." • •
Several Democrats who may have been on the fence in passing the bill, including Sens. Kirsten Gillibrand, Catherine Cortez Masto, Angela Alsobrooks, Cory Booker and Mark Warner, ultimately voted against the Clarity Act. • • In a statement shortly after the procedural vote, Warner said a bill could not move forward that would allow the president to profit personally from the crypto industry. • • "We got close to resolving some of the toughest outstanding issues around law enforcement and national security, but ultimately, the failure to address this fundamental conflict of interest made it impossible for me to support moving forward," Warner said in the statement. "That is why I voted no today." • •
Jerry Moranlivesquawk98%match95¢-3%
NEWS: The Senate failed to advance the Clarity Act, a landmark crypto market structure bill. The vote was 49-50, with three Republicans voting against: Sens. Susan Collins (Maine), Josh Hawley (Mo) and Jerry Moran (Kansas). • • (Tillis voted no with a motion to recommit, procedural)
Josh Hawleylivesquawk98%match89¢+6%
NEWS: The Senate failed to advance the Clarity Act, a landmark crypto market structure bill. The vote was 49-50, with three Republicans voting against: Sens. Susan Collins (Maine), Josh Hawley (Mo) and Jerry Moran (Kansas). • • (Tillis voted no with a motion to recommit, procedural)
NEWS: The Senate failed to advance the Clarity Act, a landmark crypto market structure bill. The vote was 49-50, with three Republicans voting against: Sens. Susan Collins (Maine), Josh Hawley (Mo) and Jerry Moran (Kansas). • • (Tillis voted no with a motion to recommit, procedural)
NEWS: The Senate failed to advance the Clarity Act, a landmark crypto market structure bill. The vote was 49-50, with three Republicans voting against: Sens. Susan Collins (Maine), Josh Hawley (Mo) and Jerry Moran (Kansas). • • (Tillis voted no with a motion to recommit, procedural)
A lot of surprising no votes in here, including from Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand, who had been reportedly leading efforts to get the Clarity Act passed.
Sen. Jerry Moran (R-Kansas) is a NO on cloture for the Clarity Act
NEW: Several Democrats who have spent months negotiating the Clarity Act, including Gillibrand, Warner, Booker, Warnock, Gallego and Cortez Masto, have all voted NO. • • All eyes now on @Sen_Alsobrooks.
Sen. Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-Del) is a NO on cloture for the Clarity Act
Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-Nev) is a NO on cloture for the Clarity Act
Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) says this morning he’s going to vote for cloture on the Clarity Act, saying he’s “very pleased” with what the White House delivered on ethics. • • “If it doesn't address their concerns, once it's amendable, then don't vote for it on the back end”
Sen. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz) tells reporters the latest crypto ethics proposal in the Clarity Act leaves a lot to be desired and that he plans to submit a counter-proposal. • • Sen. Angela Alsobrooks (D-Md.) said: “I don't really have a comment yet till tomorrow.”
Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.) tells @BanksTorrence that the Clarity Act’s ethics provisions still need work. • • “I don't think Democrats should advance a bill that doesn't deal with these opportunities for corruption — corruption we're seeing in real time,” Warnock said.
Sen. Mark Warner (D-Va.) on Clarity Act: “I don’t think the ethics provision is near enough.”
Thom Tilliscoindesk97%match69¢-84%
Senator Thom Tillis and Senator Ruben Gallego are @renato_mariotti and @RebeccaRettig1's People of the Week for crafting a bipartisan ethics compromise and delivering it to the White House in an effort to push the CLARITY Act past the 60-vote threshold.
Ruben Gallegocoindesk92%match47¢-85%
Senator Thom Tillis and Senator Ruben Gallego are @renato_mariotti and @RebeccaRettig1's People of the Week for crafting a bipartisan ethics compromise and delivering it to the White House in an effort to push the CLARITY Act past the 60-vote threshold.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Senator votes "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote is the first vote on final passage of the bill in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. This market will resolve to "No" if no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, or if the named Senator does not vote "Yea" on the qualifying vote for any reason - including voting "Nay," voting "Present," being absent, being paired, or no longer serving in the Senate at the time of the vote. Once the vote has closed and the result has been announced, any subsequent request by the named Senator to add, remove, or change their vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).