Which parties will be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?
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Market pricing makes AfD the favorite at 59% across 7 tracked outcomes, as of .
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30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Saxony-Anhalt: CDU parliamentary group not present at the election of the Minister-President
Saxony-Anhalt: How the CDU plans to outmaneuver Ulrich Siegmund
Due to suspected votes for AfD: CDU wants to leave the hall during the election of the Minister-President in Saxony-Anhalt.
Due to suspected votes for AfD: CDU wants to leave the hall during the election of the Minister-President in Saxony-Anhalt.
Saxony-Anhalt: Due to suspected votes for AfD – CDU wants to leave the hall during the election of the Minister-President
Saxony-Anhalt: Due to suspected votes for AfD – CDU wants to leave the chamber during the election of the Minister-President
Saxony-Anhalt: Due to suspected votes for AfD – CDU wants to leave the chamber during the election of the Minister-President
Germany: After the AfD's victory in Saxony-Anhalt, the CDU and the ruling coalition are threatened
Germany’s far-right AfD struggles to form first state government after landmark win
Saxony-Anhalt: "AfD not a business party" – Industry warns against AfD government
Election of the Minister-President: "The AfD shouldn't get its hopes up" – Schulze rules out votes for Siegmund
Election of the Minister-President: "The AfD shouldn't get its hopes up" – Schulze categorically rules out CDU votes for Siegmund
The Left Party wants to hold exploratory talks with the Greens and the SPD in Berlin.
Saxony-Anhalt: The first power struggle with the AfD takes place in the state parliament of Magdeburg.
Saxony-Anhalt: CDU rejects SPD invitation
Government formation: SPD unexpectedly invites to talks in Saxony-Anhalt – BSW denies AfD deal
Government formation: SPD unexpectedly invites to talks in Saxony-Anhalt – BSW denies AfD deal
The party of the German "friend of Putin" allows cooperation with the AfD in Saxony-Anhalt
SPD puts pressure on Left Party ahead of exploratory talks in Berlin
Merz called the results of the state elections dramatic for the CDU and stated the need for changes The party was about a thousand votes short of passing into the state parliament, the chancellor said at a press conference. He explained this result by the sharp confrontation between the Social Democrats and the far right, between which the CDU was squeezed, and did not agree with the accusations that the election results were related to his personal low rating. Subscribe to Ukrinform | Facebook | X | YouTube [in reply to: Elections in Germany: CDU may not enter the state parliament for the first time in 80 years "This means that the CDU will not be in the new state parliament, since the party did not overcome the five percent barrier required to enter it," the message says. As noted, this is the party's worst result in the entire history of Germany. Subscribe to Ukrinform | Facebook | X | YouTube]
Al Arabiya correspondent Ragheda Bahnam: The Christian Democratic Union (CDU) loses in two states and fails to enter parliament in an eastern state for the first time... Friedrich Merz describes the results as a disaster and clings to his position.
Change course of government: CDU will continue coalition with SPD and discuss changes
For the first time, Merz's CDU is out of a German state parliament after AfD won.
[UPDATE] German Chancellor Merz's popularity wanes as he suffers a major defeat in eastern state elections; the far-right AfD becomes the largest party again (first reported at 2026-09-21T10:31:59.227115600Z)
What is this event about?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government formed after the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Sachsen-Anhalt state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Landtag elects the Minister-President. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Minister, including the Minister-President. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Minister post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the State Government of Sachsen-Anhalt and the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).