Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
Resolved19as of
This hub tracks 19 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
28 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Arena Trends: Text-to-Image, Jan 2026 – Apr 2026 • • For most of the year, @GoogleDeepMind and @OpenAI traded the top spot within a tight margin - GPT-Image vs. Nano Banana - with the rest of the field clustered below 1,200. • • Today, GPT-Image-2 breaks away with a score of 1,512, 242 points ahead of #2 Google. • • The frontier continues to move.
Arena Trends: Text-to-Image, Jan 2026 – Apr 2026 • • For most of the year, @GoogleDeepMind and @OpenAI traded the top spot within a tight margin - GPT-Image vs. Nano Banana - with the rest of the field clustered below 1,200. • • Today, GPT-Image-2 breaks away with a score of 1,512, 242 points ahead of #2 Google. • • The frontier continues to move.
OpenAI slams Anthropic in memo to shareholders as its leading AI rival gains momentum
Anthropic debuts preview of powerful new AI model Mythos in new cybersecurity initiative
Exclusive: DeepSeek’s New AI Model Will Be a Victory for Huawei
Alibaba Unveils Qwen3.6-Plus (AI Coding Near Top Tier) • Alibaba launched its next-generation Qwen3.6-Plus large language model, featuring native multimodal understanding and reasoning with significantly improved overall performance. In benchmarks including SWE-bench and Claw-Eval, its coding capabilities approach leading global models such as Anthropic’s Claude series. Qwen3.6-Plus is now available on Alibaba Cloud’s Bailian platform, with input pricing starting from 2 yuan per million tokens, and has also been integrated into Alibaba’s AI apps and platforms including Tongyi and Wukong. • #CHINA #TECH #AI #ALIBABA $BABA • (
A mystery AI model has developers buzzing: Is this DeepSeek’s latest blockbuster?
XAI is going through a major reorg
OpenAI, Anthropic feud could prop up Google
OpenAI, Anthropic feud could help Google
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman said late Friday that his company has agreed to terms with the Department of Defense on use of its artificial intelligence models, shortly after President Donald Trump said the government won’t work with AI rival Anthropic.
Anthropic PBC started this year on a winning streak, with surging sales, multiple viral products and a large funding round all giving the startup a big advantage in the costly global AI race.
RT @pelstrom: New: Anthropic is dropping its hallmark safety pledge as AI competition heats up. While it said in 2023 it would delay develo…
Anthropic touts new AI tools weeks after legal plug-in spurred market rout
IBM is the latest AI casualty. Shares are tanking 11% on Anthropic programming language threat
RT @Benzinga: Sam Altman Says Chinese Tech Firms Have 'Remarkable' AI, But Polymarket Sees Google In The Lead.
OpenAI is projecting that its revenue will grow at a fast clip in the next few years and exceed $280 billion in 2030, according to a person familiar with the matter.
Sam Altman Says Chinese Tech Firms Have 'Remarkable' AI, But Polymarket Sees Google In The Lead.
Anthropic plans to spend at least $80B on Amazon, Google, and Microsoft cloud services to run Claude AI through 2029 – The Information.
Anthropic’s latest AI model comes not long after its release of a tool to automate certain legal work sparked a market meltdown: Here’s your Evening Briefing
ANTHROPIC PBC LAUNCHED A NEW AI MODEL THAT CAN AUTONOMOUSLY USE COMPUTERS FOR MULTI-STEP TASKS LIKE FORM FILLING AND TAB COORDINATION, CLAIMING STRONGER CODING PERFORMANCE AND IMPROVED DEFENSE AGAINST PROMPT-INJECTION ATTACKS AS IT COMPETES WITH OPENAI AND ALPHABET INC. IN…
Anthropic and Altruist’s new AI models recently upended multiple industries leaving Wall Street in search of where exactly the productivity-boosting promise of AI will translate into higher corporate earnings
Anthropic releases Claude Sonnet 4.6, continuing breakneck pace of AI model releases
Anthropic's newest AI model is intended to be better at using people’s computer in increasingly complicated ways
Anthropic has entrusted Amanda Askell to endow its AI chatbot, Claude, with a sense of right and wrong
Here's why Anthropic just had a breakout month
This is what happens when Elon runs your company. xAI which is only 2.5 yrs old and has a team size that is 1/10th of many competitors, its #1 in voice, image generation, image edits, forecasting, and many intelligence leaderboards, all while having the most powerful training…
Anthropic says its latest model could be misused for "heinous crimes" — like chemical weapons
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.