Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

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This hub tracks 29 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

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What moved the odds?

14 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Alibabachinesewsj99%match1¢-100%
As Alibaba aggressively pursues its AI ambitions through multiple channels, the company has released a new chip, the Zhenwu M890, and an upgraded version of its large language model, Qwen3.7-Max.
[#Anthropic poachs OpenAI founding member#] #Anthropic rumored to launch as early as October# On May 20th, Beijing time, Andrej Karpathy, a founding member of OpenAI and former AI director at Tesla, announced that he has joined the large-scale model company Anthropic. He stated that the next few years will be a crucial formative period for the cutting-edge field of LLM (Large Language Modeling), and he is very pleased to join the team and return to the front lines of research and development. He remains passionate about education and plans to resume related work when the time is right. Prior to this, Kapacsi briefly devoted his efforts to Eureka Labs, the AI education startup he founded. It has been reported that Capasi officially joined Anthropic's pre-training team this week, reporting to the team leader, Nick Joseph, who also comes from OpenAI. Anthropic's spokesperson confirmed that Capasi will establish a brand-new R&D group within the company, with the core task of conducting a recursive frontier exploration: leveraging the capabilities of Anthropic's flagship large model, Claude, to accelerate pre-training research on cutting-edge models. Currently, Anthropic, led by Dario Amodei, is in a period of rapid expansion. Market sources indicate that Anthropic plans to pursue an IPO in the second half of 2026, with a potential listing as early as October. Its overall valuation is approaching $1 trillion. The addition of this key figure is seen as a crucial endorsement, projecting technological confidence to the capital market and enterprise clients, and demonstrating the company's core R&D strength to maintain its position among the top tier in the long term. [Web link]
Anthropictechstartups.com99%match95¢+5%
OpenAI co-founder Andrej Karpathy joins Anthropic to advance Claude AI research
OpenAItechstartups.com99%match98¢+2%
OpenAI co-founder Andrej Karpathy joins Anthropic to advance Claude AI research
Anthropicmarketnews_feed99%match89¢+12%
ANDREJ KARPATHY, COFOUNDER OF OPENAI, JOINS ANTHROPIC: X ...
OpenAImarketnews_feed99%match98¢+2%
ANDREJ KARPATHY, COFOUNDER OF OPENAI, JOINS ANTHROPIC: X ...
Anthropicstockmktnewz99%match89¢+12%
Andrej Karpathy just announced that he has joined Anthropic
Anthropicmarketnews_feed99%match89¢+12%
[ Z ] • • ANDREJ KARPATHY, COFOUNDER OF OPENAI, JOINS ANTHROPIC: X ...
OpenAImarketnews_feed99%match98¢+2%
[ Z ] • • ANDREJ KARPATHY, COFOUNDER OF OPENAI, JOINS ANTHROPIC: X ...
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ANDREJ KARPATHY, COFOUNDER OF OPENAI, JOINS ANTHROPIC Source: FOX
OpenAINews99%match98¢+2%
ANDREJ KARPATHY, COFOUNDER OF OPENAI, JOINS ANTHROPIC Source: FOX
Anthropictedhzhang99%match89¢+12%
Anthropic has won
AnthropicTech Analyst99%match8¢-100%
Great for Microsoft! GitHub Copilot has become way better in the past few months. • • Anthropic and Claude are going to become hard to justify with their egregious pricing, especially as other models are simply better and happen to be cheaper
MicrosoftTech Analyst99%match0¢
Great for Microsoft! GitHub Copilot has become way better in the past few months. • • Anthropic and Claude are going to become hard to justify with their egregious pricing, especially as other models are simply better and happen to be cheaper

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on May 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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