Which company has second best AI model end of June?
Resolved19as of
This hub tracks 19 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Anthropic has achieved great success among programmers and enterprise customers, reshaping the competitive landscape of AI at its own pace. Sources familiar with the matter revealed that recent investment intentions have valued Anthropic at over $900 billion, surpassing OpenAI's valuation.
OpenAI slams Anthropic in memo to shareholders as its leading AI rival gains momentum
Alibaba’s Qwen 3.6 Ranks No. 2 Globally in AI Coding Benchmark • Alibaba Group Holding Ltd.’s latest large language model, Qwen 3.6-Plus, ranked second globally on Code Arena, a coding-focused benchmark under LMArena, becoming the highest-ranked Chinese model. The model trailed Anthropic’s Claude-Opus-4.6-Thinking (1540) but outscored offerings from OpenAI and Google, including GPT-5.0-High (1448) and Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (1440). Released April 2, Qwen 3.6-Plus features native multimodal reasoning and strong coding and agent capabilities, with further models, including a Qwen 3.6-Max version, expected soon. • #CHINA #TECH #AI #ALIBABA $BABA #QWEN • (
Cybersecurity stocks drop for a second day as new Anthropic tool fuels AI disruption fears
French startup Mistral AI is investing $1.4 billion to build out AI infrastructure in Sweden
French tech and AI company Mistral investing 1.2 bln Euros in a new data centre site in Sweden - Les Echos
AI developer Zhipu is set to release an upgrade of its flagship model
Anthropic is releasing a new version of its most powerful AI model that’s designed to carry out financial research
SPACEX: SPACEX HAS ACQUIRED XAI
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the second-highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.