Which artists will have #1 hits in the US in May?

ResolvedOutcomes14as of

This hub tracks 14 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Ariana Grande100%
Olivia Rodrigo100%
Drake100%
Beyonce0%
The Weeknd0%
Gracie Abrams0%
Bad Bunny0%
Olivia Dean0%
Don Toliver0%
Kanye West0%
Taylor Swift0%
Noah Kahan0%
Bruno Mars0%
Alex Warren0%

What moved the odds?

1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Drakewashingtonpost.com99%match93¢+8%
Who asked for this much Drake?

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any song by the listed artist is in the #1 spot on the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart for any day of the relevant month, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not qualify to resolve the featured artist to "Yes". The resolution source for this market will be Spotify, specifically the Spotify Top 50 - USA chart, which can be found here: https://open.spotify.com/playlist/37i9dQZEVXbLRQDuF5jeBp.

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