What will Trump say during the Tribute to America Rally on July 4th?
Resolved26as of
This hub tracks 26 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Stock Market100%
Military100%
Mount Rushmore100%
Moon100%
Space Force100%
World War100%
Mandate0%
Booming0%
Hussein0%
Hottest0%
New York0%
What moved the odds?
2 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Trump heads to Mount Rushmore, where efforts to impose his likeness have stalled
Trump to visit Mount Rushmore to mark U.S. 250th celebrations
What is this event about?
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver a keynote address at the "Tribute to America" Independence Day celebration in Washington, D.C., on July 4, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET. (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116817366986980714).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks during the "Tribute to America" Independence Day address scheduled for July 4, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf