What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?
Resolved18as of
This hub tracks 18 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
14 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
S&P 500: UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES UP 79.15 POINTS, OR 1.08%, AT 7,432.76. ...
S&P 500: UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES UP 79.15 POINTS, OR 1.08%, AT 7,432.76. ...
S&P 500: UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES UP 79.15 POINTS, OR 1.08%, AT 7,432.76. ...
S&P 500: UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES UP 79.15 POINTS, OR 1.08%, AT 7,432.76. ...
S&P 500: UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES UP 79.15 POINTS, OR 1.08%, AT 7,432.76. ...
S&P 500: UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES UP 79.15 POINTS, OR 1.08%, AT 7,432.76. ...
S&P 500: UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES UP 79.15 POINTS, OR 1.08%, AT 7,432.76.
S&P 500: UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES UP 79.15 POINTS, OR 1.08%, AT 7,432.76.
S&P 500: UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES UP 79.15 POINTS, OR 1.08%, AT 7,432.76.
S&P 500: UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES UP 79.15 POINTS, OR 1.08%, AT 7,432.76.
S&P 500: UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES UP 79.15 POINTS, OR 1.08%, AT 7,432.76.
S&P 500: UNOFFICIALLY CLOSES UP 79.15 POINTS, OR 1.08%, AT 7,432.76.
5/16/2026 Daily Recap: Bulls ready for the Hamptons? • - $QQQ $SPY small change in character recently with the deterioration in breadth under the surface. • - Hit with a gap down on Friday and closed near the lows. • - I personally think it's healthy for things to go sideways a few weeks here, but I've been getting lots of pushback on that idea as if "this time is different" • - $XLE best group on Friday with many constructive names going into next week. • - Hard to imagine I play anything $USO related just because of how new driven that group will be. Maybe it's the wrong idea but I will stay patient for the AI trade to just tighten back up. • - Neo clouds and the space theme will still be two groups at the top of my list. $NBIS $CIFR $WULF $CORZ $RKLB $LUNR $PL • - Semiconductors coming under the smallest bit of pressure and it seems completely reasonable to think that group could rest for a few more weeks $INTC $AMD $MRVL $ARM $MXL $NVDA $AVGO $TSM. • - $CIBR $CRWD $PANW $FTNT $DDOG a group I will watch for any consolidation to see if I can hop abord what feels to be a frenzy of institution accumulation. • - Solar names coming back to life in a big way recently. $ENPH $SEDG $NXT. It's always nice when we get another group to trade. • - Gold $GLD Silver $SLV and Copper $COPX coming under some pressure on Friday. I don't love the positioning picture for copper. • - I also don't love seeing the US Dollar come to life $DXY. Typically a strong dollar = bad for emerging markets. Emerging markets also include South Korea which is basically all SK HYNIX and Samsung. Not something I will panic over but will keep a close eye on that relationship if the dollar strengthens. • - Still lots to be optimistic about but patience for new merchandise feels like the right move or smaller size.
What is this event about?
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in May 2026?