US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
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Traders see just one-in-three chance of US-Iran peace deal before June
Iran and US are still working towards a peace deal. Here's what Trump has said
US REPORTEDLY AWAITING IRANIAN RESPONSE TO PEACE DEAL, PER AXIOS ...
Iran reviewing US proposal as Trump pressures Tehran for agreement on deal to end war
Iran weighs a U.S. peace proposal as deal hopes rise
Trump tells PBS that the Iran war will likely end before his trip to China.
Trump: The US and Iran just talked, and it's very likely that an agreement will be reached.
Trump eyes China trip deadline for deal with Iran
#Live Update: The US and Iran are close to reaching a one-page memorandum to restart negotiations. A former US diplomat said Trump wants to end the war with Iran before his visit to China; Trump said Iran has agreed to give up its nuclear weapons. Trump also said the war with Iran would be worthwhile even if oil prices rose to $200 a barrel.
Trump says a deal between the US and Iran is "very likely" to be reached.
Trump: A deal with Iran is very possible after recent talks
Donald Trump said the US and Iran have a good chance of reaching a deal before his trip to China, scheduled for May 14-15. "I think this has a very good chance of ending, and if it doesn't end, we're going to have to go back to bombing them," the US president said in an interview with PBS News. He noted that the upcoming deal could include the export of highly enriched uranium from Iran to the United States. Earlier, Trump wrote on the social network TruthSocial that the US would end the operation against Iran if Tehran agreed to Washington's terms. RBC Channel in "Max" RBC app for iOS and Android
Donald Trump stated that there is a very good chance of ending the conflict with Iran. He said this could happen before his trip to China next week. "I think there's a very good chance this will end, and if it doesn't, we'll have to start bombing them to the ground again," he told PBS News. At the same time, the American president called it unlikely that his special envoys, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, would travel to negotiate with Iran. Mr. Trump suggested that the meeting could be held in the United States. Subscribe to Kommersant on MAX | on Telegram [in reply to: The US and Iran have agreed on most of the points of the peace deal, Al Arabiya TV reports, citing Pakistani sources. According to them, US Presidential Envoy Steve Witkoff recently held indirect talks with Iranian representatives. According to the channel's sources, the draft agreement includes: complete cessation of military actions; resumption of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz; issues related to enriched uranium in Iran; Unblocking frozen Iranian assets; Iran's abandonment of plans to acquire nuclear weapons. The US and Iran are "close to signing a preliminary agreement to end the war," but further negotiations could take several months, Al Arabiya sources noted. Subscribe to Kommersant on Telegram | on MAX | Leave boosts
US President Donald Trump: I feel we are close to reaching an agreement with Iran and we may finalize the deal before my visit to China... and Tehran will pledge not to operate its nuclear facilities.
US President Donald Trump said in a phone call with PBS on Wednesday that the United States is close to a deal to end the war with Iran. He suggested that the deal could include the transfer of Iran's highly enriched uranium stockpile to the United States. Trump, expressing optimism about a ceasefire ahead of his trip to China next week, warned that heavy airstrikes would resume if talks fail. @VahidOOnLine @VahidOnline
Trump to PBS: We may reach a deal with Iran before my visit to China next week Al Arabiya channel
Donald Trump expressed optimism about reaching a deal with Iran, said it was possible an agreement could be reached before his trip to China next week and added that the war would have a “very good chance of ending,” PBS News reported citing an interview with the US president on Wednesday. • • “Yeah, I think so, but I felt that way before with them, so we’ll see what happens,” Trump said when asked whether the United States was closing in on a deal with Iran. • • “I think it’s got a very good chance of ending, and if it doesn’t end, we have to go back to bombing the hell out of them,” Trump added. • • Trump also said Iran’s highly enriched uranium would be sent to the United States as part of a potential agreement. •
Trump tells PBS that the Iran war is likely to end before his trip to China and that he expected the agreement to include Iran handing over its uranium stockpiles to the United States.
URGENT Trump stated that he believes it is possible to reach an agreement with Iran before his visit to China.
Trump: Iranian enriched uranium will go to the US as part of deal; it’s possible to finalize a deal before trip to China
Trump: We might reach a deal with Iran before my visit to China next week
Trump claims: Deal with Iran likely to be reached before China trip I feel like an agreement is close, we'll see what happens. If we agree, we will reduce sanctions/choice
#Breaking | PBS on Trump: A deal to end the war with Iran could be reached before I travel to China next week
Trump: A deal to end the war with Iran may be reached before I travel to China next week. "I think it has a very good chance of being finished, and if it doesn't get finished, we'll have to go back and bomb them," the president said
Trump to PBS: It would be ideal if we reached an agreement with Iran before traveling to China.
BREAKING: US President Donald Trump tells PBS it’s possible to strike a deal to end the war with Iran before his trip to China next week. • •
Trump to PBS: We may reach a deal with Iran before my visit to China next week
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran and the United states agree to a permanent peace deal before Donald Trump visits China. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If neither a qualifying peace deal nor a Trump visit to China occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between the United States and Iran have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between the United States and Iran. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between the US and Iran on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the two-week ceasefire agreement announced on April 7, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- The United States and Iran each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both the governments of the United States and Iran provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The primary resolution source for whether a peace deal is achieved will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for Trump visiting China will be official information from government of the United States of America and official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.