Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal

Maritime traffic data: Maritime traffic in the main waterways of the Persian Gulf remains weak The passage of ships carrying essential goods through the Strait of Hormuz increased on Wednesday compared to Tuesday, but remained below its 10-day average / Selection

Live: Strait of Hormuz ship traffic holds at low levels on Tuesday

Gulf ship traffic via Strait of Hormuz hovers below 10-day average, data shows

Shipping data: Cargo vessel traffic in the Strait of Hormuz falls to its lowest level in 3 months

Reuters reports: Cargo ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to its lowest level in over three months.

Shipping data: Cargo vessel traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to its lowest level in three months.

Shipping data: Cargo vessel traffic in the Strait of Hormuz falls to its lowest level in 3 months

Shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has declined by approximately 90% compared to pre-conflict levels. #AlArabiya_Business

Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz skyrockets nearly 400%, as analysts say Iran's grip on critical waterway weakens

Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz skyrockets nearly 400%, as analysts say Iran’s grip on critical waterway weakens

Live: Hormuz traffic this week is 20% of pre-war average, US says "oil is flowing"

Live: Strait of Hormuz traffic this week was 20% of pre-war average, though US says "oil is flowing"

The Strait of Hormuz is "open," according to Trump's statements, but reports indicate a sharp decline in shipping traffic.

60 days after the understanding between Tehran and Washington, shipping in the Strait of Hormuz continues with lower traffic levels and oil volumes than before the war.

FWD from KhabarGraphic: The Line of Invalidation of Statistics and Figures on Trump's Claims about Hormuz The Wall Street Journal, in a report examining ship traffic statistics, transit routes, attacks, insurance costs and the volume of oil that has left the market since the start of the war, presents a picture that is far from Donald Trump's claim about America's "complete control" over the Strait of Hormuz. The sum of these numbers presents a clear picture: maritime traffic has dropped from more than 130 ships per day to 14 ships, the average traffic in July was only 26 and in June 33 ships, out of 166 crossings in August, only two were made through the US-supported route, and insurance costs have also increased from 0.25% to 10%. In addition to removing more than 2.6 billion barrels of oil from the market, these figures show that control of the Strait of Hormuz is in the hands of Iran, not the US. @Khabar_Graphic @TasnimNews

Live: Shipping in Strait of Hormuz continues to slow

Hormuz Traffic Falls, Red Sea Resilient • • Maritime traffic diverged across two critical chokepoints last week. Strait of Hormuz crossings fell 19.5% to 95 from 118, with daily traffic declining from a peak of 19 on 11 August to just three on 16 August. Of the total, 51 crossings used the Iranian Unilateral Scheme and 44 were Route Undetermined. No Hormuz TSS or Omani-route crossings were recorded. • Bab el-Mandeb crossings increased 6.7% to 254 from 238, with 150 vessels entering the Red Sea and 104 exiting. Dark transits fell sharply to 16 from 40, although compliance and security exposure persisted, with 29 sanctioned and 39 shadow fleet crossings recorded during the week.

Kepler data shows that commercial ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has slowed to a near standstill over the weekend after three vessels operated by the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company were attacked. According to Reuters, only five cargo ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz on Saturday, and none were recorded on Sunday, August 15, compared to 31 at the end of last week. Reuters wrote that some ships may have passed through the waterway with silent tracking systems. Before the US-Israeli war against the Islamic Republic in March, more than 130 ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz daily, and one-fifth of the world's crude oil and liquefied natural gas shipments were transported through this route. Abbas Araqchi, the Foreign Minister of the Islamic Republic, has said that the resumption of shipping depends on Washington accepting Tehran's conditions regarding the Strait of Hormuz.

Reuters: Data showed a slowdown in ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz over the weekend.

Reuters, citing shipping data: Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz slowed over the past two days.

Data shows that ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz was slow on Saturday and Sunday following attacks on oil tankers and the lack of progress in Iran-US peace talks.

Reuters, citing shipping data: Ship traffic in the Strait of Hormuz slowed over the past two days.

The British Maritime Trade Operations Organization announced that three ships were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz within 72 hours and the regional threat level in this waterway has been assessed as "very high." According to the organization, two oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz on August 13, and a cargo ship was attacked on August 14 as it entered the strait. The organization did not provide details about the cause of the attacks, how they occurred, or possible damage to the ships in the published information.

The British Maritime Trade Operations Organization said two oil tankers were attacked in the Strait of Hormuz on August 13 and a cargo ship was attacked as it entered the strait on August 14. The organization declared the regional threat level as “very high.”

Kepler: No oil cargo moved through the Strait of Hormuz on Friday Shipping tracking company (Kepler) announced today that only 2 ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz yesterday and no crude oil cargo was seen among them. This comes while the US Secretary of Energy claimed last Tuesday that oil flow from the Persian Gulf had returned to normal levels. @Farsna - Link [in reply to: US Energy Secretary Again Takes Control of the Strait of Hormuz Phase While the Wall Street Journal challenged the claims of the Donald Trump administration regarding the country's control over the Strait of Hormuz by presenting new statistics, his Energy Secretary once again repeated the claims in this regard. He claimed: “We are in coordination with all the ships that pass through the Strait of Hormuz and we know the exact number of ships that pass through this strait every day.” Trump has repeatedly claimed that the United States controls the Strait of Hormuz, but the Wall Street Journal reported yesterday that of the 166 ships that passed through the Strait of Hormuz in August, only two passed through the US-backed route along Oman. @Farsna]

Live: Strait of Hormuz traffic remains at a fraction of pre-war levels

Live: Hormuz traffic remains at less than a fifth of pre-war average

Live: Strait of Hormuz ship traffic remains 90% below pre-war levels as security threats persist

Reuters reported that shipping traffic in the Strait of Hormuz has been almost completely halted since Friday, August 13, after two Emirati ships were attacked and the US announced that it could continue its naval blockade of the Islamic Republic indefinitely. According to data from tracking company Kepler, only two ships passed through the waterway on Friday; a grain ship entered Iranian waters and an empty bulk carrier headed in the opposite direction. An empty tanker carrying liquefied gas products was also entering the Persian Gulf, and no crude oil cargo was seen passing.

A reality check on #Hormuz and Mideast Gulf oil flows. • • There is a growing narrative that oil flows are normalizing, Mideast Gulf producers, particularly the #UAE, are successfully navigating the disruption and, therefore, the worst of the supply crisis may be behind us. • • The physical reality remains considerably more complicated. • • 1/ US officials have repeatedly stressed that Washington controls #Hormuz and that significantly more oil is moving through the strait. • • Energy Secretary @SecretaryWright now puts flows at 8mn-9mn b/d, arguing conventional vessel tracking is undercounting traffic because ships are moving with AIS transponders switched off and under military escort. • • 2/ That may well mean more barrels are moving than trackers can see. • But more oil moving through an active war zone is not the same thing as normalisation. • • 3/ Consider the UAE: • • @ADNOCGroup said on 7 August that 15 of its vessels had been targeted by missiles and drones while transiting Hormuz since the war began, three in the preceding week alone. • This is hardly business as usual. • • 4/ #SaudiArabia, despite having considerable optionality too, is not insulated either. • The kingdom has relied heavily on its 7mn b/d East-West pipeline to Yanbu to bypass Hormuz, with barrels also moving north through Egypt’s Sumed pipeline and Suez. • But the Red Sea itself is now exposed to renewed Houthi threats and attacks. • • 5/ Others have considerably fewer options. • • #Kuwait remains overwhelmingly dependent on Hormuz and has had to shut in much of its oil production, while #Qatar has no equivalent large-scale bypass for LNG produced inside the Gulf. • • 6/ #Iraq has its northern route to #Ceyhan, but current flows are nowhere near sufficient to replace its normal southern exports. • Baghdad is now targeting substantially higher northern capacity while looking again at alternative routes to the Mediterranean. • • 7/ Here lies the uncomfortable paradox: • Every Mideast Gulf cargo that successfully crosses Hormuz demonstrates resilience and returns desperately needed supply to the global market. • But portraying those movements as evidence that the strait has been brought under control risks obscuring the security environment in which those vessels, crews and companies are operating. It also misinforms markets. • • 8/ There is potentially a strategic consequence too. • The more Mideast Gulf producers are portrayed as successfully restoring exports under US protection, the greater the risk that their commercial energy infrastructure becomes entangled in the wider US-Iran confrontation. • Commercial resilience, long planned for by countries such as the UAE and Saudi Arabia, should not be mistaken for strategic immunity. • • 9/ That distinction matters for Washington too. • Declaring Hormuz effectively under control while Gulf companies continue to absorb attacks creates a disconnect between the political narrative and the physical reality confronting producers, shipowners, insurers and, most importantly, crews. • Military capability to escort vessels through a chokepoint is not the same as restoring confidence in that chokepoint. • • 10/ Perhaps the clearest indication of how Mideast Gulf capitals themselves view the situation is where they are putting their money. • • The UAE is expanding crude export capacity outside Hormuz, investing in shipping and logistics, while Adnoc Gas is exploring potential LNG infrastructure on the UAE’s east coast. • Saudi Arabia is examining additional Hormuz-bypass capacity. • Iraq wants substantially more crude moving north through Ceyhan. • • These are not the investments of countries assuming the vulnerability is disappearing anytime soon. • • 11/ Mideast Gulf producers are keeping energy flowing while vessels are being targeted, their infrastructure already damaged and alternative routes are being threatened by #Iran. • • So yes, more oil may be moving through Hormuz. But don’t mistake adaptation for normalisation. #oott