What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

OpenOutcomes19as of

Market pricing makes ↓ $7,200 the favorite at 71% across 19 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

↓ $4,500alarabiya_bn95%match97¢
A Reuters survey predicts the S&P 500 will end 2026 at 7,900 points, up from a previous forecast of 7,620. #ArabicBusiness
S&P 500 SEEN HITTING 7,900 • • Wall Street expects the S&P 500 to end 2026 at 7,900, about 3% above current levels, according to a Reuters poll. • • Strong corporate earnings, booming AI investment and hopes for easing US-Iran tensions are supporting optimism. • <b... S&P 500 SEEN HITTING 7,900 • • Wall Street expects the S&P 500 to end 2026 at 7,900, about 3% above current levels, according to a Reuters poll. • • Strong corporate earnings, booming AI investment and hopes for easing US-Iran tensions are supporting optimism. • • However, strategists warn that high valuations, rising tech-sector leverage, Fed policy and US midterm elections could create volatility.
REUTERS POLL-S&P 500 TO END 2026 AT 7,900 (7,620 IN MAY POLL) • • REUTERS POLL-DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE TO END 2026 AT 54,500 (52,500 IN MAY POLL)
↓ $4,500dbws.io95%match97¢
POLL-S&P 500 to end 2026 slightly above current levels on profit optimism
↓ $4,500Reuters97%match97¢
Reuters Poll-S&P 500 to End 2026 at 7,900 (7,620 in May Poll)
↑ $8,000Walter Bloomberg95%match70¢-29%
UBS SEES S&P 500 BULL RUN EXTENDING • • UBS raised its S&P 500 targets to 8,100 for December 2026 and 8,400 for June 2027, citing stronger earnings and resilient growth. • • The bank now expects EPS of $350 in 2026 and $400 in 2027, driven by strength in technology, semiconductors and energy. • • UBS remains bullish on resilient economic growth, a patient Fed and accelerating AI adoption. • • Key risks include higher oil prices, renewed inflation and disappointing AI returns.
↓ $4,500kucoin.com91%match96¢+1%
S&P 500 Earnings Surge 31% as Wall Street Raises 2026 Year-End Target to 7,894. • The S&P 500 earnings season has emerged as one of the strongest corporate profit periods in years, giving Wall Street another re
↑ $8,000cnbc91%match79¢-37%
S&P 500 to 9,000? Why Evercore ISI thinks it’s possible
↑ $8,000Walter Bloomberg97%match79¢-37%
EVERCORE: S&P 500 COULD HIT 9,000 • • Evercore ISI strategist Julian Emanuel says the S&P 500 could reach 9,000 within 12 months, implying roughly 16% upside from current levels. • • He argues traditional bull-market killers — recession, surging long-term yields and extreme investor FOMO — are not yet evident. • • Emanuel also sees further upside from the AI boom, low corporate leverage and diversified investor positioning. • • His base-case S&P 500 target remains 7,750.
↑ $8,000cnbc.com91%match79¢-37%
S&P 500 to 9,000? Why Evercore ISI thinks it’s possible
↑ $8,000alarabiya_bn93%match89¢-44%
JPMorgan raises its S&P 500 target to 8,000 points The reason: Billions of dollars spent on artificial intelligence are starting to translate into real revenue The most dangerous shift on Wall Street in 2026: The market has moved from pricing promises to pricing earnings #Arabic_Business
↑ $8,000coinbasemarkets95%match89¢-44%
There's now a 77% chance the S&P 500 trades above 8,000 this year.
↓ $4,500coindesk93%match95¢+2%
MARKET UPDATE: The S&P 500 closed at a new all-time high of 7,798.99.
↑ $8,600alarabiya_bn92%match12¢-8%
US stocks ended Thursday's trading session higher, with the S&P 500 hitting a new record high, surpassing the 7,800-point mark for the first time in its history before closing below that level. This was driven by falling oil prices and weaker-than-expected July producer price index data. The S&P 500 rose 0.65%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite jumped 0.81%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed 0.13%. #Arabic_Business
↓ $5,800cnbc93%match86¢+7%
The S&P 500 closed at a new record on Thursday, buoyed by cooler-than-expected inflation data and falling oil prices. • • The broad market index added 0.65% and surpassed 7,800 for the first time ever, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.81%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average inched up 0.13%. •
↓ $4,500cnbc92%match95¢+2%
The S&P 500 closed at a new record on Thursday, buoyed by cooler-than-expected inflation data and falling oil prices. • • The broad market index added 0.65% and surpassed 7,800 for the first time ever, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.81%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average inched up 0.13%. •
↑ $7,800coindesk94%match100¢
MARKETS: The S&P 500 breaks above 7,800 for the first time ever.
↓ $4,500Walter Bloomberg96%match96¢+1%
YARDENI LIFTS S&P 500 TARGET TO 8,400 • • Ed Yardeni raised his S&P 500 target to 8,400 from 8,250, citing “fabulous earnings momentum.” • • He now expects 2026 S&P 500 earnings of $375, up from $330, as companies broadly beat forecasts. • • Yardeni sees the earnings-driven rally continuing and maintains his 10,000 target for 2029. • • He puts recession and bear-market risk at just 20%, viewing any major pullback as a buying opportunity.
↑ $7,800Walter Bloomberg95%match83¢+20%
CFRA RAISES S&P 500 TARGET TO 8,650 • • CFRA raised its 12-month S&P 500 target to 8,650 from 7,730, implying nearly 12% upside from August 7. • • The firm also lifted its 2026 year-end target to 8,050. • • Strategist Sam Stovall says strong earnings continue to support equities, but rising margin debt, persistent inflation and potential Fed tightening are fueling concerns that the rally could be approaching a peak.
↑ $7,800stockmktnewz92%match83¢+20%
JPMorgan today raised its year end forecast for the S&P 500 up 3% to 8,000 from 7,800
↑ $7,800Walter Bloomberg96%match82¢+22%
JPMORGAN RAISES S&P 500 TARGET TO 8,000 • • JPMorgan raised its S&P 500 year-end target to 8,000 from 7,800, implying roughly 3% upside from Friday’s close. • • Strategists cited strong earnings and growing evidence that massive AI investment is translating into customer demand. • • Stronger cloud growth and expanding backlogs at major tech companies are helping validate rising AI spending, which JPMorgan expects to represent more than half of the S&P 500’s $1.5 trillion in capex this year.
↑ $7,800Reuters95%match87¢+15%
JP Morgan Raises 2026 Year-End Target for S&P 500 Index to 8,000 From 7,800
↓ $4,500stockmktnewz92%match96¢+1%
The S&P 500 has closed the day at new ALL TIME HIGHS 26 times so far in 2026
CFRA RAISES S&P 500 TARGET TO 8,050 • • CFRA lifted its 2026 S&P 500 year-end target to 8,050 from 7,400, implying about 4% upside from current levels. • • The firm also sees the index reaching 8,650 in 2027, citing strong earnings, resilient consumers, easing oil prices, AI investment, and favorable midterm election seasonality. • • CFRA joins a growing list of Wall Street firms turning more bullish on U.S. equities.
↑ $7,800cnbc93%match78¢+28%
We’re only in the first week of August, but Tom Lee is already predicting a strong month for stocks. • • The head of research at Fundstrat Capital said in a video to clients late Wednesday that he thinks the S&P 500 could soar to 7,900-8,000 this month. That target range implies upside of 2.3% to 3.6% from Wednesday’s close of 7,723.55. • • Read more with CNBC Pro:
↓ $4,500Walter Bloomberg92%match96¢+1%
FOMO DRIVES RECORD S&P 500 CALL BUYING • • Investors are piling into S&P 500 call options, with more than 4 million contracts traded Tuesday—a record—as bullish sentiment accelerates. • • Analysts say strong earnings, improving market breadth, and fading macro concerns are fueling a "one-way" flow into upside bets. • • UBS expects the S&P 500 to reach 8,100 by year-end, while Bloomberg Intelligence says traders are increasingly worried about missing further gains rather than hedging downside risk.
↑ $7,800Walter Bloomberg94%match62¢+61%
S&P 500 BREAKS OUT, RECORD HIGH IN SIGHT • • The S&P 500 has regained momentum, closing just 0.12% below its record high after a nearly 4% three-day rally. • • Mega-cap stocks are leading the advance, with the Magnificent Seven posting their strongest three-day gain since May 2025. • • Technically, the index has broken above a multi-month consolidation pattern, signaling buyers are back in control. • • A new record could open the door toward the 7,900–8,000 range, while support sits near 7,560.
↓ $4,500Reuters91%match95¢+2%
S&P 500 Up 33.60 Points, or 0.45 Percent, at 7,523.32 After Market Open
↓ $4,500Walter Bloomberg92%match95¢+2%
DEUTSCHE BANK RAISES S&P 500 EPS FORECASTS • • Deutsche Bank lifted its 2026 S&P 500 EPS forecast to $358 (from $342) and 2027 to $420 (from $390) after strong Q2 earnings. • • A record 87% of companies have beaten estimates, with profits on track to grow 33% in Q2. The bank said earnings strength is broadening beyond Big Tech, supported by record margins and robust sales growth.
↓ $4,500Reuters91%match96¢+1%
S&P 500 Up 39.96 Points, or 0.54 Percent, at 7,477.59 After Market Open

What is this event about?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?

Related events