What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?↑ $8,600
Open$30Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 11% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES11¢
NO90¢
as of
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
NOPolymarket98%match87¢+2%
[Replying to @WatcherGuru] @WatcherGuru 11% chance the S&P 500 closes the year above $8,000. > JUST IN: President Trump predicts the US stock market will double by the end of his term.
Where does the news lean?
1YES3NO2neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
What would make this resolve YES?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
finance.yahoo.com
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