Scarborough Southwest Provincial By-Election Winner

OpenOutcomes27as of

Market pricing makes Fatima Shaban the favorite at 60% across 27 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Fatima Shaban60%
Person H50%
Person I50%
Person J50%
Person K50%
Person L50%
Person M50%
Person N50%
Person O50%
Person P50%
Person Q50%
Person R50%
Person S50%
Person T50%
Person U50%
Other50%
Person A50%
Person B50%
Person C50%
Person D50%
Person E50%
Person F50%
Person G50%
Ahsanul Hafiz39%
Noor Tarun3%
Mark Bekkering0%
Chris Rees0%

What moved the odds?

No directional matched news signals are available across this event yet.

What is this event about?

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of Scarborough Southwest is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).

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