Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerJay Collins
ResolvedOutcome: No$1.4Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Florida’s Lt. Gov. Jay Collins loses bid to be Republican’s nominee for governor
Live: Byron Donalds, now the Republican nominee for Florida governor, dominated in most of the state but is trailing to Jay Collins in a number of largely white, rural counties in North Florida. Mr. Donalds is Black, and some Republicans will be looking at his underperformance in those counties with concerns about whether white Republicans are unwilling to vote for a Black nominee and might stay home in November. If elected, Donalds would become Florida’s first Black governor.
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 675,076 (49.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 339,870 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 137,965 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Live: While Byron Donalds has a large lead statewide in the Republican primary for governor in Florida, Lt. Gov. Jay Collins is currently leading in several rural, historically Republican counties in the northern part of the state which tend to have significantly lower percentages of residents with a college degree than the state as a whole.
DDHQ Race Update (est. 64% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 534,160 (50.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 263,158 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 96,781 (9.1%) • Paul Renner (R): 89,864 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 53% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 452,930 (50.7%) • Jay Collins (R): 221,068 (24.7%) • Paul Renner (R): 75,993 (8.5%) • James Fishback (R): 73,862 (8.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 44% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 377,752 (51.5%) • Jay Collins (R): 182,887 (24.9%) • Paul Renner (R): 61,485 (8.4%) • James Fishback (R): 54,063 (7.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
So - the @JayCollinsFL campaign for governor out with new polling: • • Byron Donalds: 46% • Jay Collins: 30% • James Fishback: 9.8% • Paul Renner: 5.9% • • “Notably, undecided voters break for Collins more than any other candidate, with Collins taking 40% of that pool,” said campaign manager @TedVeerman. • • Camp says the poll of 988 likely Florida Republican primary voters was conducted July 28-29 via a text-to-web interface by David Jay Wolfson.
Where does the news lean?
1YES9NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Related markets
See all outcomes for Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.