Florida Governor Republican Primary WinnerJames Fishback
ResolvedOutcome: No$6.5Mas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
8 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
DDHQ Race Update (est. 82% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 675,076 (49.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 339,870 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 137,965 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 64% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 534,160 (50.1%) • Jay Collins (R): 263,158 (24.7%) • James Fishback (R): 96,781 (9.1%) • Paul Renner (R): 89,864 (8.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 53% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 452,930 (50.7%) • Jay Collins (R): 221,068 (24.7%) • Paul Renner (R): 75,993 (8.5%) • James Fishback (R): 73,862 (8.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 44% in): Florida Governor Republican Primary • • Byron Donalds (R): 377,752 (51.5%) • Jay Collins (R): 182,887 (24.9%) • Paul Renner (R): 61,485 (8.4%) • James Fishback (R): 54,063 (7.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Florida gubernatorial candidate James Fishback’s own lawyers dump him over unpaid $150K bill
NOPolymarket99%match90¢+11%
[Replying to @PpollingNumbers] @PpollingNumbers Florida Governor Republican Primary: Byron Donalds - 80% James Fishback - 10% Jay Collins - 5% >
NOPolymarket99%match89¢+12%
[Replying to @LeadingReport] @LeadingReport Florida Republican Governor Primary: Byron Donalds - 81% James Fishback - 11% Jay Collins - 4% >
YESPolymarket99%match14¢-100%
[Replying to @j_fishback] @j_fishback Florida Governor Republican Primary odds: Byron Donalds - 82% James Fishback - 14% Jay Collins - 3% > As Governor, I will ban Palantir in Florida.
Where does the news lean?
2YES8NO6neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 98%.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.
If no 2026 Florida Republican Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
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See all outcomes for Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.