NY-15 Democratic Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes18as of

This hub tracks 18 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Ritchie Torres100%
Amanda Septimo0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate E0%
Candidate G0%
Candidate I0%
Candidate K0%
Candidate M0%
Candidate O0%
Michael Blake0%
Dalourny Nemorin0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate F0%
Candidate H0%
Candidate J0%
Candidate L0%
Candidate N0%
Other0%

What moved the odds?

9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Ritchie Torresms.now99%match100¢
Rep. Ritchie Torres secures Democratic nomination after challenge over Israel stance
Ritchie Torresfoxnews.com99%match100¢
Ritchie Torres, pro-Israel Democrat, wins primary nomination for reelection
Ritchie TorresPunchbowl Reporter99%match100¢
Ritchie Torres easily dispatches primary challenger Michael Blake. This one isn't close at all>>>
Michael BlakePunchbowl Reporter99%match99¢+1%
Ritchie Torres easily dispatches primary challenger Michael Blake. This one isn't close at all>>>
Ritchie Torrescnn.com99%match100¢
Ritchie Torres will win the Democratic primary in New York’s 15th District, CNN projects
Ritchie TorresDecision Desk (DDHQ)99%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 23% in): New York US House 15 Democratic Primary • • Ritchie Torres (D): 7,766 (76.3%) • Michael Blake (D): 1,946 (19.1%) • Jose Vega (D): 467 (4.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Michael BlakeDecision Desk (DDHQ)99%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 23% in): New York US House 15 Democratic Primary • • Ritchie Torres (D): 7,766 (76.3%) • Michael Blake (D): 1,946 (19.1%) • Jose Vega (D): 467 (4.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Ritchie TorresDecision Desk (DDHQ)99%match100¢
Decision Desk HQ projects Ritchie Torres wins the NY US House 15 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 9:05 PM EDT
Ritchie Torresnytimes.com99%match99¢+1%
A Challenger to Ritchie Torres Struggled to Gain Traction

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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