NY-10 Democratic Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes21as of

This hub tracks 21 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Brad Lander100%
Alexa Avilés0%
Yuh-Line Niou0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate F0%
Candidate H0%
Candidate J0%
Candidate L0%
Candidate N0%
Other0%
Dan Goldman0%
Cameron Kasky0%
Candidate A0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate E0%
Candidate G0%
Candidate I0%
Candidate K0%
Candidate M0%
Candidate O0%

What moved the odds?

7 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Dan Goldmanabcnews.com99%match12¢-100%
Rep. Dan Goldman (D-NY), Sunday on “This Week with George Stephanopoulos”
Brad LanderAxios Reporter99%match80¢+25%
Inbox: Brad Lander challenges Dan Goldman to sign a "People's Pledge" to "publicly and promptly denounce" outside PAC spending in #NY10 and donate 50% of the cost of any ads to charity. • • It says the charitable donation "cannot come from a candidate’s personal or family wealth."
Dan GoldmanAxios Reporter98%match81¢+23%
Inbox: Brad Lander challenges Dan Goldman to sign a "People's Pledge" to "publicly and promptly denounce" outside PAC spending in #NY10 and donate 50% of the cost of any ads to charity. • • It says the charitable donation "cannot come from a candidate’s personal or family wealth."
Brad LanderBloomberg98%match73¢+37%
Brad Lander's primary challenge against Dan Goldman is the latest sign of how Democrats’ shifting views on Israel continue to influence politics in New York City
Dan GoldmanBloomberg98%match76¢+32%
Brad Lander's primary challenge against Dan Goldman is the latest sign of how Democrats’ shifting views on Israel continue to influence politics in New York City
Brad LanderPOLITICO98%match71¢+41%
SCOOP: Brad Lander is set to challenge Dan Goldman from the left, launching as soon as tomorrow with Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement via @politico
Dan GoldmanPOLITICO98%match78¢+28%
SCOOP: Brad Lander is set to challenge Dan Goldman from the left, launching as soon as tomorrow with Zohran Mamdani’s endorsement via @politico

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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