NJ-12 Democratic Primary Winner
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This hub tracks 37 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
Now this is interesting: 314 Action, which supports Democratic scientists & doctors running for Congress, endorses Adam Hamawy in #NJ12 • • The left has accused the group of being an AIPAC sock puppet, but Hamawy — who amputated Sen. Tammy Duckworth's legs — is vocally anti-Israel.
What is this event about?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.