Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

ResolvedOutcomes30as of

This hub tracks 30 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

No release by June 30100%
June 260%
June 130%
June 230%
June 240%
On or prior to June 20%
June 80%
June 100%
June 200%
June 30%
June 40%
June 50%
June 60%
June 150%
June 210%
June 250%
June 70%
June 90%
June 110%
June 120%
June 140%
June 160%
June 170%
June 180%
June 190%
June 300%
June 220%
June 270%
June 280%
June 290%

What moved the odds?

No directional matched news signals are available across this event yet.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public. Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify. Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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