Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?
Resolved1as of
This hub tracks 1 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
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What moved the odds?
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$MS Morgan Stanley Q2 2026 Earnings • -Rev. $21.35B (est $19.58b) • -FICC Sales & Trading Rev $2.46b (est $2.56b) • -Equities Sales & Trading Rev $6.30b (est $4.47b) • -Total Deposits $446.07 (est $432.75b) • -Wealth Management Net Rev. $8.86b (est $8.68b) • -Non-Interest Expenses $13.90b (est $13.28b) • -Provision For Credit Losses 98m (est $76.8m) • -Institutional Investment Banking Rev. $2.44b (est $22b) • -Compensation Expenses $8.19b (est $8.15b)
*MORGAN STANLEY 2Q EQUITIES TRADING REV $6.30B, EST. $4.47B
Morgan Stanley Shares Gain 2.8% Premarket After Q2 Results
What is this event about?
As of market creation, Morgan Stanley is estimated to release earnings on July 15, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Morgan Stanley's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.81 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Morgan Stanley reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.81 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents.
If Morgan Stanley releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”.
If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.”
Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless this is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.