Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: AfD Vote Share?
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After his party secured 4.9% and the Alternative for Germany (AfD) garnered 38.2%, Merz describes the defeat as a "disaster" and clings to the chancellorship. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz described his party's loss in the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania elections as a "disaster," but affirmed his commitment to his position and continuing his reform agenda. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) party considered the result a new success, while its leader, Tino Schröbel, stated that his party had ousted the Social Democratic Party (SPD) from the lead and "crushed" the Christian Democratic Union (CDU). Calls for a change of course within the CDU intensified after the results, but Merz refused to resign and confirmed his continued leadership as chancellor and party leader. The AfD, which advocates for the deportation of foreigners, won the Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania elections with 38.2%, ahead of the SPD, which received 35.5%.
[UPDATE] German Chancellor Merz's popularity wanes as he suffers a major defeat in eastern state elections; the far-right AfD becomes the largest party again (first reported at 2026-09-21T10:31:59.227115600Z)
The victories of the Alternative for Germany party in the regional elections are an internal matter for Germany, noted Dmitry Peskov. Some German citizens are looking for an alternative to the current authorities in order to achieve improvements in the economy, the Kremlin representative added. On September 20, elections to the Landtag of the federal state of Mecklenburg - Vorpommern were held in Germany. In Mecklenburg, according to preliminary official data, the AfD won, gaining 38.2% of the vote. The ruling CDU showed the worst result in the entire history of its participation in state elections in Germany - 4.9% - and did not enter the local parliament. Earlier, the AfD won the elections to the parliament of the federal state of Saxony-Anhalt with 43.8% of the vote, and the CDU party, which has formed the government in this region since 2002, gained 17.2%.
In the German federal state of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) won the state parliament elections with 38.2% of the vote. At the same time, Chancellor Merz's Christian Democratic Union (CDU) received 4.9% and for the first time in the party's history failed to enter the state parliament. This is according to preliminary results of the state elections published by the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election commission.
The far-right has won the elections in Germany again, threatening Merz's position - DW The Alternative for Germany party won the parliamentary elections in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern with about 38% of the vote. The Social Democrats came in second with about 35%. The Left Party is leading in the state capital, Merz's conservatives are second, and the far-right is only third with 16%. Two weeks earlier, the same party also won in Saxony-Anhalt, gaining almost 44%. The media is discussing a possible replacement for Merz without early elections - on the evening of the voting day, he convened the party leadership to find out whether they support him in office. Read only the gist from RBC-Ukraine on Google.
URGENT AfD wins in Mecklenburg with 38.2% of the vote after 100% of the protocols have been counted – Electoral Commission
URGENT: AfD leads in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections with 37% of votes - exit poll
What is this event about?
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landeswahlleiter Mecklenburg-Vorpommern) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).