MD-05 Democratic Primary Winner

OpenOutcomes35as of

This hub tracks 35 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Adrian Boafo100%
Alexis Solis0%
Dave Sundberg0%
Ellis Colvin0%
Harry Jarin0%
Heather Luper0%
Jerry Lightfoot0%
Kenneth Simons0%
Mark Kenneth Arness0%
Quincy Bareebe0%
Rushern Baker III0%
Tracy Starr0%
Wala Blegay0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate F0%
Candidate H0%
Candidate J0%
Arthur Ellis0%
Elldwnia English0%
Harry Dunn0%
Harold Tolbert0%
James Makle Jr.0%
Keith Salkowski0%
Leigha Messick0%
Nicole Williams0%
Reuben Collins II0%
Terry Jackson0%
Walter Kirkland0%
Candidate A0%

All further outcomes (5 more):

Candidate C · Candidate E · Candidate G · Candidate I · Other

What moved the odds?

A complete combined signal timeline is unavailable. The outcome odds above remain current to the stated time.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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