Maduro Prison Time?
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Market pricing makes No prison time the favorite at 40% across 5 tracked outcomes, as of .
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Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
What moved the odds?
30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .
US prosecutors have set June 2027 as the tentative date for the start of Maduro's trial in New York on drug trafficking charges.
US prosecutors have set June 2027 as the tentative date for the start of Maduro's trial in New York on drug trafficking charges.
US prosecutors have set June 2027 as the tentative date for the start of Maduro's trial in New York on drug trafficking charges.
US prosecutors have set June 2027 as the tentative date for the start of Maduro's trial in New York on drug trafficking charges.
Facing serious charges, the US judiciary sets a trial date for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in June 2027.
Facing serious charges, the US judiciary sets a trial date for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in June 2027.
Facing serious charges, the US judiciary sets a trial date for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in June 2027.
Facing serious charges, the US judiciary sets a trial date for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in June 2027.
Facing serious charges, the US judiciary sets a trial date for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in June 2027.
Facing serious charges, the US judiciary sets a trial date for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in June 2027.
Facing serious charges, the US judiciary sets a trial date for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in June 2027.
Facing serious charges, the US judiciary sets a trial date for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in June 2027.
Maduro's trial postponed until next year Yesterday, a court in the United States set June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406) as the date for the trial of kidnapped Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife. @iribnews
Maduro's trial postponed until next year Yesterday, a court in the United States set June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406) as the date for the trial of kidnapped Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife. @iribnews
Maduro's trial postponed until next year Yesterday, a court in the United States set June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406) as the date for the trial of kidnapped Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife. @iribnews
Maduro's trial postponed until next year Yesterday, a court in the United States set June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406) as the date for the trial of kidnapped Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife. @iribnews
Maduro's trial date set Yesterday, a court in the United States set June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406) as the date for the trial of kidnapped Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife.
tasnimnews.ir/3654450
@TasnimNews [in reply to: Maduro's illegal trial begins in US court Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro appeared in a US court under heavy security to answer trumped-up drug trafficking charges in what many observers consider an "illegal show trial."
@TasnimNews]
Maduro's trial date set Yesterday, a court in the United States set June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406) as the date for the trial of kidnapped Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife.
tasnimnews.ir/3654450
@TasnimNews [in reply to: Maduro's illegal trial begins in US court Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro appeared in a US court under heavy security to answer trumped-up drug trafficking charges in what many observers consider an "illegal show trial."
@TasnimNews]
Maduro's trial date set Yesterday, a court in the United States set June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406) as the date for the trial of kidnapped Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife.
tasnimnews.ir/3654450
@TasnimNews [in reply to: Maduro's illegal trial begins in US court Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro appeared in a US court under heavy security to answer trumped-up drug trafficking charges in what many observers consider an "illegal show trial."
@TasnimNews]
Maduro's trial date set Yesterday, a court in the United States set June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406) as the date for the trial of kidnapped Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife.
tasnimnews.ir/3654450
@TasnimNews [in reply to: Maduro's illegal trial begins in US court Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro appeared in a US court under heavy security to answer trumped-up drug trafficking charges in what many observers consider an "illegal show trial."
@TasnimNews]
According to a US judge's ruling, the trial of Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores will begin on June 1, 2027. @YjcNewsChannel
According to a US judge's ruling, the trial of Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores will begin on June 1, 2027. @YjcNewsChannel
According to a US judge's ruling, the trial of Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores will begin on June 1, 2027. @YjcNewsChannel
According to a US judge's ruling, the trial of Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores will begin on June 1, 2027. @YjcNewsChannel
FWD from ISNA World: Maduro's trial postponed until next year According to a ruling by a US judge, the trial of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores will begin on June 1, 2027. isna.ir/xdWMcC
@IsnaWorld
FWD from ISNA World: Maduro's trial postponed until next year According to a ruling by a US judge, the trial of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores will begin on June 1, 2027. isna.ir/xdWMcC
@IsnaWorld
FWD from ISNA World: Maduro's trial postponed until next year According to a ruling by a US judge, the trial of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores will begin on June 1, 2027. isna.ir/xdWMcC
@IsnaWorld
FWD from ISNA World: Maduro's trial postponed until next year According to a ruling by a US judge, the trial of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores will begin on June 1, 2027. isna.ir/xdWMcC
@IsnaWorld
The trial of ousted Venezuelan President Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores will begin in June 2027. The judge in New York ruled, the BBC reports. The couple have been charged with crimes related to weapons and drugs. Maduro and Flores deny the charges. Maduro's lawyer has made it clear that he will argue in court that his client was protected by sovereign immunity - a legal principle that protects heads of state from prosecution. Outside, anti-war protesters condemned the US military operation against Maduro. They held signs reading "Freedom for President Maduro" and called the trial a "farce." But some Venezuelans, wrapped in national flags, supported the charges against Maduro. [in reply to: Venezuelan leader Maduro pleaded not guilty during a hearing in New York and called himself a "decent man" and the current president. His wife also pleaded not guilty, Reuters reports. The court has scheduled the next hearing in the case for March 17. The US accuses Maduro and his wife of organizing a cartel for drug trafficking to the US and of criminal conspiracy. Why Trump conducted a military operation in Venezuela and what it could bring to the people of the country and the region — we told in the material.]
The trial of ousted Venezuelan President Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores will begin in June 2027. The judge in New York ruled, the BBC reports. The couple have been charged with crimes related to weapons and drugs. Maduro and Flores deny the charges. Maduro's lawyer has made it clear that he will argue in court that his client was protected by sovereign immunity - a legal principle that protects heads of state from prosecution. Outside, anti-war protesters condemned the US military operation against Maduro. They held signs reading "Freedom for President Maduro" and called the trial a "farce." But some Venezuelans, wrapped in national flags, supported the charges against Maduro. [in reply to: Venezuelan leader Maduro pleaded not guilty during a hearing in New York and called himself a "decent man" and the current president. His wife also pleaded not guilty, Reuters reports. The court has scheduled the next hearing in the case for March 17. The US accuses Maduro and his wife of organizing a cartel for drug trafficking to the US and of criminal conspiracy. Why Trump conducted a military operation in Venezuela and what it could bring to the people of the country and the region — we told in the material.]
What is this event about?
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.