Maduro Prison Time?40–60
Open$24Kas of
Odds now
The market prices a 7% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES7¢
NO93¢
as of
What moved the odds?
20 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the live price as of .
Facing serious charges, the US judiciary sets a trial date for former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife in June 2027.
Maduro's trial postponed until next year Yesterday, a court in the United States set June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406) as the date for the trial of kidnapped Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife. @iribnews
Maduro's trial date set Yesterday, a court in the United States set June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406) as the date for the trial of kidnapped Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife.
tasnimnews.ir/3654450
@TasnimNews [in reply to: Maduro's illegal trial begins in US court Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro appeared in a US court under heavy security to answer trumped-up drug trafficking charges in what many observers consider an "illegal show trial."
@TasnimNews]
According to a US judge's ruling, the trial of Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores will begin on June 1, 2027. @YjcNewsChannel
FWD from ISNA World: Maduro's trial postponed until next year According to a ruling by a US judge, the trial of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores will begin on June 1, 2027. isna.ir/xdWMcC
@IsnaWorld
Venezuelan President Maduro's trial to begin in June 2027; New York District Court challenges the validity of the indictment.
Judge Alvin Hellerstein proposed that the trial against President Nicolás Maduro and First Lady Cilia Flores begin in June 2027, while a group of protesters gathered outside the federal court for the Southern District of New York in support of the president. The session focused on the timeline for the release of classified information, the admissibility of which will be evaluated on November 17. The presidential couple's defense will seek to have the case dismissed on March 11, 2027.
US court sets June 2027 as trial date for Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and his wife
Maduro's trial has a date Judge Hellerstein scheduled the trial against President Nicolás Maduro and Cilia Flores for June 2027 in New York, while protesters demanded their release outside the courthouse. Will the defense succeed in getting the case dismissed?
Federal Judge Alvin Hellerstein proposed setting June 1, 2027, as the start date for the trial against President Nicolás Maduro and First Lady Cilia Flores in the Southern District Court of New York. The decision was announced after a hearing focused on defining the schedule for reviewing evidence and classified information. During the proceedings, the defense will request the dismissal of the case, arguing the president's immunity.
Maduro's Fate to Be Decided by Mid-Next Year, Court: “Starts June 1, 2027”
Maduro to remain behind bars for one more year while awaiting trial
From kidnapping to show trials in the US; Maduro's trial postponed until next year The case of former Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro has entered a new phase after Washington's attack to kidnap and transfer him to US soil; a New York federal judge announced on Wednesday that the former Venezuelan president, and his wife, Cilia Flores, will be tried on June 1, 2027 (11 Khordad 1406). @IRNA_1313
Maduro trial set for June 1, 2027 A court has set June 1, 2027 as the start of the trial of former Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro and his wife Cilia Flores, who are accused of drug smuggling, the Associated Press reported on Wednesday. Judge Alvin Hellerstein set the date after considering the positions of the prosecution and the defense.
...
Nueva York | Audiencia contra el presidente Maduro • • Concluyó este miércoles en Nueva York la audiencia sobre el calendario del proceso judicial contra el presidente de Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro, secuestrado por EE. UU. tras la invasión del pasado 3 de enero. • • La sesión, celebrada en la Corte Federal del Distrito Sur, contó con la presencia del mandatario y de la primera dama y diputada Cilia Flores. • • Afuera del tribunal, un grupo de manifestantes denunciaron el carácter ilegítimo del proceso contra un presidente Maduro. • • El juez Alvin Hellerstein aceptó la solicitud de que sea el 1 de junio de 2027 como fecha de inicio del juicio, precedido por dos bloques de mociones donde la defensa hará valer la inmunidad diplomática de los acusados.
This Wednesday, U.S. Federal Judge Alvin Hellerstein proposed June 1, 2027, as the start date for the trial against the constitutional president of the Bolivarian Republic of Venezuela, Nicolás Maduro Moros, and the first lady, Cilia Flores. The start of the proceedings would be preceded by two phases of preliminary motions, where the defense will argue the diplomatic immunity afforded to the presidential couple as legitimate representatives of a sovereign state.
The criminal trial of Nicolás Maduro and his wife is scheduled to begin on June 1, 2027, a federal judge said Wednesday.
NOJoe Weisenthal99%match78¢+19%
The judge in the Maduro case is 92 years old
NOBloomberg99%match86¢+8%
Nicolás Maduro will have already spent more than 24 hours in one of the toughest US jails when he appears in court Monday to face charges that could keep him behind bars for the rest of his life
NOPolymarket99%match88¢+6%
BREAKING: Maduro projected to be sentenced to 60+ years in prison, but there's still a 14% chance he gets away with no prison time.
Where does the news lean?
0YES51NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 96%.
What would make this resolve YES?
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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