Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

ResolvedOutcomes6as of

This hub tracks 6 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

June 30politlcsuk99%match67¢+49%
UPDATE: Catherine West says she accidentally called for a leadership election "in September" in her email to Labour MPs • • She meant a new leader should be in place by September, but wants the contest to begin "soon"
June 30bbc.co.uk99%match58¢+72%
Are we on the verge of a Labour leadership election?
June 30telegraph.co.uk99%match44¢+127%
UK borrowing costs soar as Labour leadership fight brews

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a leadership election for the UK-wide Leader of the Labour Party is scheduled by the specified date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market is about whether a date for any Labour Party leadership election is announced within this market's timeframe. Whether the election is supposed to take place within this market's timeframe or later will have no effect on the resolution to this market. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Labour Party, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

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