Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control
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Two different tankers have loaded at Kharg Island's eastern berth in the past two days. • • The first entered port on August 21 and departed the morning of August 24. The second entered the night of August 23. Both transmitted AIS the whole time. • • The most recent arrival is using the fraudulent ship registry of Nicaragua. Until July 20 it was flagged to Iran under a different name before switching its identity. • • The other vessel, using the fraudulent ship registry of Guyana, executed a U-turn earlier today, likely due to blockade pressure from the U.S. • • It's highly unusual for these vessels to load with AIS on, most loadings go dark. This suggests defiance from Iran, with the use of fraudulent registries and stateless ships signaling a refusal to comply with basic maritime rules that underpin global seaborne trade.
EO imagery over Kharg Island on August 17 at 07:43 UTC shows all three terminals vacant. The LPG terminal has been idle for 21 days, the eastern oil terminal for 18. • • Meanwhile, the waiting area is filling up with 21 tankers holding an assessed 20.7m bbl, up from 18 tankers on Aug 13. • • Loading stopped, but the laden fleet at anchor did not.
Kharg Island's western terminal is loading again, for the first time in 25 days. • A dark VLCC-class tanker of approximately 333 meters, holding in the waiting area since July 11, is now berthed and loading. The eastern and LPG terminals remain empty. • • The bigger picture: North Larak absorbed 7 more hulls in two days, and Russia-to-Iran wet cargo through the Caspian is up 2.9x since the blockade escalation. • • Iran isn't waiting for the blockade to lift. It's rerouting around it. • • Full intelligence brief:
Tanker Trackers: A National Iranian Tanker Company supertanker, the Vialissi, is seen loading 2 million barrels of crude oil at the Azarpad dock on Iran's Kharg Island today (August 14, 2026). Although this is the first loading seen at the island since late July, Iran has continued to load tankers at other terminals. However, Iran's oil production is roughly in line with the processing of the country's refineries, meaning it may not need much to export. / Selected nournews.ir @Nournews_IR
TankerTrackers reported that a National Iranian Tanker Company supertanker was spotted loading two million barrels of crude oil at Azarpad pier on Kharg Island on Friday, August 13.
A National Iranian Tanker Company VLCC supertanker is seen today (2026-08-14) loading 2 million barrels of crude at the Azarpad jetty on Kharg Island, Iran. • • Although this is the first loading sighted at the island since the end of July, Iran has continued loading tankers at other terminals. That said, Iran’s oil production appears to be roughly in line with the country’s refinery runs (domestic consumption), meaning it may not need to export much. • • #OOTT #IranWar #Tankers
A National Iranian Tanker Company VLCC supertanker is seen today (2026-08-14) loading 2 million barrels of crude at the Azarpad jetty on Kharg Island, Iran. • • Although this is the first loading sighted at the island since the end of July, Iran has continued loading tankers at other terminals. That said, Iran’s oil production appears to be roughly in line with the country’s refinery runs (domestic consumption), meaning it may not need to export much. • • #OOTT #IranWar #Tankers
Kharg Island, day 22 of the standstill. • • Iran's crude export pipeline remains at a complete halt under the renewed U.S. naval blockade. • • All three Kharg terminals are empty: • Western terminal: empty 22 consecutive days (since July 18) • LPG terminal: empty 13 consecutive days (since July 27) • Eastern terminal: empty 10 consecutive days (since July 30) • • @vortexa trade data confirms zero departures from Kharg between July 31 and August 9. • • Meanwhile, the waiting area holds 17 dark stationary tankers — down one from 18 on August 5 — all transmitting no AIS. The pattern is consistent with a blockade-driven export halt: no loadings, no departures, and a dark queue that isn't moving. • • Track the situation daily:
The Financial Times reported that oil export activity on Kharg Island has been halted under the US naval blockade, with the oil terminal facing one of the longest interruptions since the Islamic Republic began its six-month war with the US and Israel. The Washington-based group, the Coalition Against a Nuclear Iran, which monitors the Islamic Republic's oil shipments, said it had not seen any tanker carrying Iranian crude successfully exiting the Persian Gulf since July 11. Despite the halt in export activity on Kharg Island, the Islamic Republic continues to earn money from shipments that left the Persian Gulf earlier during the ceasefire and are now reaching buyers in Asia. According to the Coalition Against a Nuclear Iran report, 26 tankers flying the Islamic Republic's flag have reached waters near Malaysia; Where Iranian crude oil is usually transferred to other ships before being delivered to Chinese refineries.
Kharg Island, July 30. Only 1 of 3 terminals active. Satellite imagery shows the eastern oil terminal reactivated, with a dark Aframax-class tanker (~240m) now berthed after sitting empty since July 25. • • The LPG terminal has been empty since July 27. • The western terminal has sat idle for 12 days. • • A dark VLCC-class tanker (~330m) is now transiting northeast toward the waiting area, joining a queue of 16 tankers already stacked outside the port.
Kharg Island, July 30. Only 1 of 3 terminals active. Satellite imagery shows the eastern oil terminal reactivated, with a dark Aframax-class tanker (~240m) now berthed after sitting empty since July 25. • • The LPG terminal has been empty since July 27. • The western terminal has sat idle for 12 days. • • A dark VLCC-class tanker (~330m) is now transiting northeast toward the waiting area, joining a queue of 16 tankers already stacked outside the port.
Kharg Island, July 30. Only 1 of 3 terminals active. Satellite imagery shows the eastern oil terminal reactivated, with a dark Aframax-class tanker (~240m) now berthed after sitting empty since July 25. • • The LPG terminal has been empty since July 27. • The western terminal has sat idle for 12 days. • • A dark VLCC-class tanker (~330m) is now transiting northeast toward the waiting area, joining a queue of 16 tankers already stacked outside the port.
No explosion or fire has occurred on the island Special District Officer of Kharg: The news and images published on some channels and social networks that an explosion or fire occurred on Kharg Island are not true and such claims are strongly denied. The fire seen in some satellite images is related to flaring operations (burning excess gases) in oil facilities, which is a completely normal, controlled process and part of the ongoing operations of the oil and gas industries. No security incident or fire has occurred on the island, and all vital facilities and infrastructure on the island are in normal condition and activities are being carried out without any disruption. @ilnair
No explosion or fire has occurred on the island Special District Officer of Kharg: The news and images published on some channels and social networks that an explosion or fire occurred on Kharg Island are not true and such claims are strongly denied. The fire seen in some satellite images is related to flaring operations (burning excess gases) in oil facilities, which is a completely normal, controlled process and part of the ongoing operations of the oil and gas industries. No security incident or fire has occurred on the island, and all vital facilities and infrastructure on the island are in normal condition and activities are being carried out without any disruption. @ilnair
No explosion or fire has occurred on the island Special District Officer of Kharg: The news and images published on some channels and social networks that an explosion or fire occurred on Kharg Island are not true and such claims are strongly denied. The fire seen in some satellite images is related to flaring operations (burning excess gases) in oil facilities, which is a completely normal, controlled process and part of the ongoing operations of the oil and gas industries. No security incident or fire has occurred on the island, and all vital facilities and infrastructure on the island are in normal condition and activities are being carried out without any disruption./Mehr mehrnews.com/x3cDjb @mehrnews
No explosion or fire has occurred on the island Special District Officer of Kharg: The news and images published on some channels and social networks that an explosion or fire occurred on Kharg Island are not true and such claims are strongly denied. The fire seen in some satellite images is related to flaring operations (burning excess gases) in oil facilities, which is a completely normal, controlled process and part of the ongoing operations of the oil and gas industries. No security incident or fire has occurred on the island, and all vital facilities and infrastructure on the island are in normal condition and activities are being carried out without any disruption./Mehr mehrnews.com/x3cDjb @mehrnews
Kharg is safe; Island evacuation denied Governor of Bushehr: Normal life is going on in Kharg and no order for evacuation has been issued In an interview with a Tasnim reporter, residents of Kharg Island spoke resolutely and firmly about defending this land and water, and announced that the sacrifices of Iran and the leadership are present on the ground on Kharg Island and they will not allow the enemies to invade this island.
Kharg is safe; Island evacuation denied Governor of Bushehr: Normal life is going on in Kharg and no order for evacuation has been issued In an interview with a Tasnim reporter, residents of Kharg Island spoke resolutely and firmly about defending this land and water, and announced that the sacrifices of Iran and the leadership are present on the ground on Kharg Island and they will not allow the enemies to invade this island.
Bushehr Governor Mohammad Mozaffari told state news agency IRNA on Saturday, July 17, referring to the recent attacks on Khark Island, that no official order has been issued to evacuate the island and that “normal life” is taking place there.
Mozaffari added: “Currently, maritime traffic between Khark Island and the territorial waters of the Persian Gulf is carried out around the clock and according to normal procedures.”
The Bushehr Governor also said that there has been no disruption in the provision of public needs and services to government agencies.
Kharg is safe; Island evacuation denied Governor of Bushehr: Normal life is going on in Kharg and no order for evacuation has been issued. Earlier today, Tasnim's reporter reported in a field report from Kharg Island that people's daily life on the island was going on. In an interview with Tasnim, the residents of Kharg Island spoke very firmly and firmly about defending this land and water, and announced that the sacrifices of Iran and the leadership are present on the ground on Kharg Island and will not allow the enemies to invade this island.
@TasnimNews
Kharg is safe; Island evacuation denied Governor of Bushehr: Normal life is going on in Kharg and no order for evacuation has been issued. Earlier today, Tasnim's reporter reported in a field report from Kharg Island that people's daily life on the island was going on. In an interview with Tasnim, the residents of Kharg Island spoke very firmly and firmly about defending this land and water, and announced that the sacrifices of Iran and the leadership are present on the ground on Kharg Island and will not allow the enemies to invade this island.
@TasnimNews
Democratic Senator: Capturing Kharg Island Risks Losing Hundreds of American Soldiers Chris Coons:
Capturing Kharg Island would be very difficult for the United States because there is a risk of losing hundreds of soldiers, because the island is located in the northwest corner of the Persian Gulf, close to Iran, and we would have to engage in heavy fighting and risk many lives to be able to capture Kharg Island. isna.ir/xdWHxw
@isna94
Live: Iran denies reports of new attack on Kharg Island
We have not had an explosion in Kharg yet According to a Mehr reporter based on Kharg Island, the news published about the sound of an explosion in Kharg is not true and we have not had an explosion in Kharg yet mehrnews.com/x3cwHy @mehrnews
URGENT Trump allowed the US military to seize Iran's Kharg Island
Kharg Island, July 8, 05:38 UTC: • All three loading terminals occupied, with vessel positions and lengths matching yesterday's pass at every berth (same vessels potentially holding station). • Western Terminal: ~333m dark vessel alongside. • LPG Terminal: ~120m dark vessel. • Eastern Terminal: 2x ~330m dark vessels. • • The eastern waiting area now holds ~24 dark, stationary vessels, up from 20 yesterday, extending the backlog that has held at 18+ vessels since July 6.
Iran's Mehr News Agency: Reports of explosions on Kharg Island are false.
Iran's Mehr News Agency: Reports of explosions on Kharg Island are false.
Kharg Island, July 6, 05:51 UTC: • Windward's multi-source intelligence tracked both the Western and Eastern crude terminals at Kharg Island reoccupied overnight by dark ballast tankers, arriving with no AIS transmission. • • The LPG/Sulphur berth remains empty for a 14th consecutive day, absent since June 22. • • In the eastern waiting area, 19 dark tankers continue to hold stationary, ranging from ~118m to ~333m, mostly laden, with nine high-speed craft observed transiting the anchored fleet.
In recent days, satellite images have revealed the formation of an oil slick near Kharg. The slick, measuring about 70 square kilometers, has leaked into the western part of Kharg, raising concerns about energy security, environmental damage, and the possibility of cleanup in wartime. The exact origin of the pollution is unclear, but cases ranging from oil spills to tanker waste dumping have been raised. Kaveh Madani, a water and environmental expert, and his team investigated the source of the pollution
What is this event about?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by March 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.