Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026

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Market pricing makes 3.0%+ the favorite at 57% across 7 tracked outcomes, as of .

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30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

2.6-2.8%yna.co.kr93%match96¢-7%
Japan Raises 10-Year Government Bond Coupon to 3.1%... Highest in 30 Years
2.8-3.0%yna.co.kr94%match92¢-2%
Japan Raises 10-Year Government Bond Coupon to 3.1%... Highest in 30 Years
2.6-2.8%47news.jp91%match95¢-6%
*Today's auction of 10-year bonds: Coupon rate 3.10%, planned issuance amount approximately 2.6 trillion yen.
2.8-3.0%47news.jp92%match93¢-3%
*Today's auction of 10-year bonds: Coupon rate 3.10%, planned issuance amount approximately 2.6 trillion yen.
2.2-2.4%47news.jp91%match96¢-4%
*Today's auction of 10-year bonds: Coupon rate 3.10%, planned issuance amount approximately 2.6 trillion yen.
2.4-2.6%47news.jp91%match93¢-1%
*Today's auction of 10-year bonds: Coupon rate 3.10%, planned issuance amount approximately 2.6 trillion yen.
2.0-2.2%47news.jp91%match98¢
*Today's auction of 10-year bonds: Coupon rate 3.10%, planned issuance amount approximately 2.6 trillion yen.
3.0%+Reuters96%match80¢-29%
Yield on 10-Year JGB Rises 3 Bps to 3.115%
2.8-3.0%Reuters93%match90¢
Corrected-Yield on 10-Year (Not 5-Year) JGB Rises 1.0 Basis Points to 3.095%
2.2-2.4%Reuters92%match95¢-3%
Corrected-Yield on 10-Year (Not 5-Year) JGB Rises 1.0 Basis Points to 3.095%
2.4-2.6%Reuters92%match91¢+1%
Corrected-Yield on 10-Year (Not 5-Year) JGB Rises 1.0 Basis Points to 3.095%
2.0-2.2%Reuters92%match98¢
Corrected-Yield on 10-Year (Not 5-Year) JGB Rises 1.0 Basis Points to 3.095%
3.0%+Reuters95%match70¢-19%
Yield on 10-Year JGB Rises to 3.085%
2.6-2.8%Reuters92%match92¢-3%
Yield on 10-Year JGB Rises to 3.085%
2.0-2.2%Reuters91%match98¢
Yield on 10-Year JGB Rises to 3.085%
3.0%+news.tv-asahi.co.jp92%match70¢-19%
Long-term interest rates rose to 3.115% at a 30-year high; "Undervaluation of the yen is a problem" reaffirmed in Japan and the US.
3.0%+Iranian Media93%match70¢-19%
Why has Japan become a thermometer for the developments in the Middle East war? The jump in the yield on Japan's 10-year bond to 3.115%, the highest level since 1996, is not just a development in the Tokyo debt market. Japan is one of the largest holders of US Treasuries and one of the largest energy-dependent economies in the Middle East. This makes the Japanese bond market a link between the energy crisis and the US debt market. Hormuz risk enters the Japanese economy through the energy channel: more expensive oil increases import costs and inflationary pressures, and can change expectations about interest rates. The increase in JGB yields, in turn, could affect the flow of Japanese capital to foreign markets. At the same time, oil reached around $107 after the doctors' speech at the UN, and the market continues to price in the risk of continued energy disruption. This pressure has also been transmitted to Europe; Global diesel prices are at record levels, and supply disruptions have increased transportation and production costs. So the chain of crisis moves from Hormuz to oil, diesel and gas, then inflation, interest rates and the bond market. In this context, "resilience" is not just about enduring time; it is the ability to absorb costs that increase every day as the crisis continues. Read the full text in the link below @Nournews_IR
2.6-2.8%Iranian Media92%match94¢-5%
Why has Japan become a thermometer for the developments in the Middle East war? The jump in the yield on Japan's 10-year bond to 3.115%, the highest level since 1996, is not just a development in the Tokyo debt market. Japan is one of the largest holders of US Treasuries and one of the largest energy-dependent economies in the Middle East. This makes the Japanese bond market a link between the energy crisis and the US debt market. Hormuz risk enters the Japanese economy through the energy channel: more expensive oil increases import costs and inflationary pressures, and can change expectations about interest rates. The increase in JGB yields, in turn, could affect the flow of Japanese capital to foreign markets. At the same time, oil reached around $107 after the doctors' speech at the UN, and the market continues to price in the risk of continued energy disruption. This pressure has also been transmitted to Europe; Global diesel prices are at record levels, and supply disruptions have increased transportation and production costs. So the chain of crisis moves from Hormuz to oil, diesel and gas, then inflation, interest rates and the bond market. In this context, "resilience" is not just about enduring time; it is the ability to absorb costs that increase every day as the crisis continues. Read the full text in the link below @Nournews_IR
2.8-3.0%Iranian Media92%match89¢+1%
Why has Japan become a thermometer for the developments in the Middle East war? The jump in the yield on Japan's 10-year bond to 3.115%, the highest level since 1996, is not just a development in the Tokyo debt market. Japan is one of the largest holders of US Treasuries and one of the largest energy-dependent economies in the Middle East. This makes the Japanese bond market a link between the energy crisis and the US debt market. Hormuz risk enters the Japanese economy through the energy channel: more expensive oil increases import costs and inflationary pressures, and can change expectations about interest rates. The increase in JGB yields, in turn, could affect the flow of Japanese capital to foreign markets. At the same time, oil reached around $107 after the doctors' speech at the UN, and the market continues to price in the risk of continued energy disruption. This pressure has also been transmitted to Europe; Global diesel prices are at record levels, and supply disruptions have increased transportation and production costs. So the chain of crisis moves from Hormuz to oil, diesel and gas, then inflation, interest rates and the bond market. In this context, "resilience" is not just about enduring time; it is the ability to absorb costs that increase every day as the crisis continues. Read the full text in the link below @Nournews_IR
2.2-2.4%Iranian Media92%match100¢-8%
Why has Japan become a thermometer for the developments in the Middle East war? The jump in the yield on Japan's 10-year bond to 3.115%, the highest level since 1996, is not just a development in the Tokyo debt market. Japan is one of the largest holders of US Treasuries and one of the largest energy-dependent economies in the Middle East. This makes the Japanese bond market a link between the energy crisis and the US debt market. Hormuz risk enters the Japanese economy through the energy channel: more expensive oil increases import costs and inflationary pressures, and can change expectations about interest rates. The increase in JGB yields, in turn, could affect the flow of Japanese capital to foreign markets. At the same time, oil reached around $107 after the doctors' speech at the UN, and the market continues to price in the risk of continued energy disruption. This pressure has also been transmitted to Europe; Global diesel prices are at record levels, and supply disruptions have increased transportation and production costs. So the chain of crisis moves from Hormuz to oil, diesel and gas, then inflation, interest rates and the bond market. In this context, "resilience" is not just about enduring time; it is the ability to absorb costs that increase every day as the crisis continues. Read the full text in the link below @Nournews_IR
2.4-2.6%Iranian Media92%match96¢-4%
Why has Japan become a thermometer for the developments in the Middle East war? The jump in the yield on Japan's 10-year bond to 3.115%, the highest level since 1996, is not just a development in the Tokyo debt market. Japan is one of the largest holders of US Treasuries and one of the largest energy-dependent economies in the Middle East. This makes the Japanese bond market a link between the energy crisis and the US debt market. Hormuz risk enters the Japanese economy through the energy channel: more expensive oil increases import costs and inflationary pressures, and can change expectations about interest rates. The increase in JGB yields, in turn, could affect the flow of Japanese capital to foreign markets. At the same time, oil reached around $107 after the doctors' speech at the UN, and the market continues to price in the risk of continued energy disruption. This pressure has also been transmitted to Europe; Global diesel prices are at record levels, and supply disruptions have increased transportation and production costs. So the chain of crisis moves from Hormuz to oil, diesel and gas, then inflation, interest rates and the bond market. In this context, "resilience" is not just about enduring time; it is the ability to absorb costs that increase every day as the crisis continues. Read the full text in the link below @Nournews_IR
2.0-2.2%Iranian Media92%match98¢
Why has Japan become a thermometer for the developments in the Middle East war? The jump in the yield on Japan's 10-year bond to 3.115%, the highest level since 1996, is not just a development in the Tokyo debt market. Japan is one of the largest holders of US Treasuries and one of the largest energy-dependent economies in the Middle East. This makes the Japanese bond market a link between the energy crisis and the US debt market. Hormuz risk enters the Japanese economy through the energy channel: more expensive oil increases import costs and inflationary pressures, and can change expectations about interest rates. The increase in JGB yields, in turn, could affect the flow of Japanese capital to foreign markets. At the same time, oil reached around $107 after the doctors' speech at the UN, and the market continues to price in the risk of continued energy disruption. This pressure has also been transmitted to Europe; Global diesel prices are at record levels, and supply disruptions have increased transportation and production costs. So the chain of crisis moves from Hormuz to oil, diesel and gas, then inflation, interest rates and the bond market. In this context, "resilience" is not just about enduring time; it is the ability to absorb costs that increase every day as the crisis continues. Read the full text in the link below @Nournews_IR
3.0%+news.tv-asahi.co.jp92%match70¢-19%
Long-term interest rates briefly rose to 3.115%, the highest level in approximately 30 years, as expectations of a US interest rate hike increased, leading to a weakening of the yen.
2.0-2.2%dbws.io93%match98¢
Japan bond yields extend surge as inflation, BOJ rate-hike bets loom
3.0%+Reuters97%match70¢-19%
Yield on 10-Year JGB Rises to 3.115%, Highest Since Aug. 1996
2.6-2.8%Reuters94%match95¢-6%
Yield on 10-Year JGB Rises to 3.115%, Highest Since Aug. 1996
2.2-2.4%Reuters94%match100¢-8%
Yield on 10-Year JGB Rises to 3.115%, Highest Since Aug. 1996
2.4-2.6%Reuters94%match94¢-2%
Yield on 10-Year JGB Rises to 3.115%, Highest Since Aug. 1996
2.0-2.2%Reuters94%match98¢
Yield on 10-Year JGB Rises to 3.115%, Highest Since Aug. 1996
3.0%+News97%match70¢-19%
10-year government bond yield rises to 3.110%, highest level in 30 years - Tokyo bond market

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026. The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.

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