Iván Cepeda vote share in 2026 Colombian presidential first round?

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40-45%100%

What moved the odds?

9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

55%+Indian PM Modi99%match100¢
Heartiest congratulations, Abelardo de la Espriella, on your victory in the Colombian presidential elections. • • India values its close friendship with Colombia which continues to grow in all areas. I convey my best wishes for a successful tenure and look forward to working together to further deepen our bilateral relations in the years ahead. • • @ABDELAESPRIELLA
45-50%Indian PM Modi99%match100¢
Heartiest congratulations, Abelardo de la Espriella, on your victory in the Colombian presidential elections. • • India values its close friendship with Colombia which continues to grow in all areas. I convey my best wishes for a successful tenure and look forward to working together to further deepen our bilateral relations in the years ahead. • • @ABDELAESPRIELLA
35-40%Indian PM Modi99%match100¢
Heartiest congratulations, Abelardo de la Espriella, on your victory in the Colombian presidential elections. • • India values its close friendship with Colombia which continues to grow in all areas. I convey my best wishes for a successful tenure and look forward to working together to further deepen our bilateral relations in the years ahead. • • @ABDELAESPRIELLA
50-55%Indian PM Modi99%match100¢
Heartiest congratulations, Abelardo de la Espriella, on your victory in the Colombian presidential elections. • • India values its close friendship with Colombia which continues to grow in all areas. I convey my best wishes for a successful tenure and look forward to working together to further deepen our bilateral relations in the years ahead. • • @ABDELAESPRIELLA
<30%m.thepaper.cn99%match3¢-100%
News Analysis | "Celebrity Businessman" Leads Colombian Election, Latin America's "Rightward Shift" Takes Another Step Forward
55%+m.thepaper.cn99%match99¢+1%
News Analysis | "Celebrity Businessman" Leads Colombian Election, Latin America's "Rightward Shift" Takes Another Step Forward
45-50%m.thepaper.cn99%match100¢
News Analysis | "Celebrity Businessman" Leads Colombian Election, Latin America's "Rightward Shift" Takes Another Step Forward
35-40%m.thepaper.cn99%match100¢
News Analysis | "Celebrity Businessman" Leads Colombian Election, Latin America's "Rightward Shift" Takes Another Step Forward
50-55%m.thepaper.cn99%match100¢
News Analysis | "Celebrity Businessman" Leads Colombian Election, Latin America's "Rightward Shift" Takes Another Step Forward

What is this event about?

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Iván Cepeda wins in the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of valid votes won by Iván Cepeda, not any coalition of which he may be a part. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

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