Iowa Republican Senate Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes20as of

This hub tracks 20 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Ashley Hinson100%
Jim Carlin0%
Joshua Smith0%
Person B0%
Person D0%
Person F0%
Person H0%
Person J0%
Person L0%
Person N0%
Other0%
John Berman0%
Person A0%
Person C0%
Person E0%
Person G0%
Person I0%
Person K0%
Person M0%
Person O0%

What moved the odds?

1 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Ashley HinsonNYT Reporter99%match96¢+4%
Looks like there's a new super PAC for Ashley Hinson, the Republican Senate candidate in Iowa. • • It's called Fight On Iowa, and it has made about $9 million in fall bookings, per AdImpact. • • Not much about it online.

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Iowa. If no 2026 Iowa Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Iowa Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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